This week, there was a debate on the future of coal in Kenya and its place in the energy mix for the country. It took place at the Strathmore (University) Extractives Industry Centre (SEIC) Nairobi, and was co-hosted by WWF Kenya). The government plans to put up a coal plant on maInland Lamu and a private developer Amu Power was selected to build it, and is seeking approval from the energy regulatory commission to commence construction.
Coal around the world
There are 3 new coal plants in Africa, and Japan & Korea will build 60 new ones to replace their old coal & nuclear ones.
There are now more global jobs in solar than coal, and solar has gone from 1 GW production in 2003 to 70 GW this year.
Trump got votes from Appalachian coal states where jobs were lost. But coal shares are down as gas has replaced coal.
With or without Kenya, the world is going green – Ethiopia aims to get to 100% renewable., Germany gets 20% renewable (all in the last 8 years), US has gone from 2 to 7% renewable (in 10 years), South Africa gets 2 GW from solar, and Rwanda’s 8.5MW solar is the largest in the region.
No projects happen at Lamu because NGOs on the beach want it to stay marginalized and oppose port, coal, roads etc.
Lamu has high unemployment leaving youth exposed to Al-shabab & drugs. This project will have 1,800 jobs for locals.
It is not the job of private company to create jobs or improve security in Lamu – that is the government’s role
“Save Lamu” groups oppose the plant because all its side-effects have not been quantified, and it will destroy far more (fishing) jobs than it creates.
Other Sources and Energy Mix
Amu Power’s 1050 MW will add 50% to Kenya’s 2,200 MW electricity from the coal plant that is 20 kilometers from Lamu town.
A country’s rate of development depends on availability of cheaper and reliable energy supply. Developed countries get 60% from coal/nuclear and just 3% from renewables on average.
Solar is okay for isolated homes, but it will not recover the cost of national power generation and distribution.
Geothermal costs $4-5 million per well per well & each one generates 5MW – so how many can Kenya get? It’s very expensive for government & IPP’s who often sink many dry wells
Geothermal depends on nature to generate the steam and you can’t tweak the inputs, unlike with coal & nuclear where you can vary the inputs to match demand.
Industries need coal. Moyale which gets electricity from Ethiopia hydro only has supply three days a week
Even today people on the grid will not turn on electric cookers – the main energy sources in Kenya are charcoal and wood, and the are larger pollutants than coal.
Kenya imports all glass because we don’t have the energy to make glass.
Coal is Kshs 7.5 per unit compared to kshs 20 from diesel-fired plants.
The US has lake signs that “if you fish here, don’t eat the fish” – Kenya will likewise have to monitor coal pollution risks
Kenya emissions (excluding extractives) will be 150 MT of carbon by 2030 and the government has committed to reduce this by 30%. How?
How will the plant dispose of the ash, carbon dioxide and acid rain? Lamu does not have infrastructure
An EIA (environmental impact assessment) audit process in Kenya is a compromised one. They are done by auditors hired by investors and will never oppose projects.
Amu Power will use three new clean coal technologies at the plant.
The government must check that industry and investors comply with environmental standards – there was a toxic battery factory in Mombasa. County and national governments need to do their own monitoring.
Energy projects are financed by lenders have strict conditions.e .g IFC/World Bank finance many thermal plants, and they can’t allow plants that compromise commitment. The Amu power one is guaranteed by the African Development Bank.
It’s been reported that Easy Taxi are on their way out of Africa as a market, following a similar retreat in Asia, to focus on Latin America. They have been here for about two years, signing up operators in Nairobi, and later in Nakuru and Mombasa, with some good traction.
They have done this without attracting the attention that rival Uber does or drawing battles with local taxi drivers. Flying under the Uber radar may have also meant that Uber caught all the funding attention in the taxi hailing world, so even where Easy had a lead, all that was forgotten after Uber arrived in new markets..
Easy had formed partnerships with many Nairobi corporations, events and concerts, and even banks to finance their growing fleet of taxi drivers. The taxi market remains vibrant and there are rumors that other companies may be planning to takeover their operation. Easy Taxi Africa is a part of AIG (Africa Internet Group) which encompasses other locally familiar brands including Jovago, Lamudi, Hello Food and Jumia.
This week, FSD Kenya released Financial Access 2016, their fourth report, after others in 2006, 2009 and 2013. This year is the 10th anniversary of FSD Kenya, and much has changed since the first survey was done back in 2006 which showed that 40% of Kenyans were excluded from financial services. The Financial Access report will now be done annually, and will feature in the national statical publication – the Kenya Economic Survey, from April 2016 onwards.
Central Bank Deputy Governor, Sheila M’Mbijjewe, said that she was happy that the report drilled down into trying to understand the differences in financial access and usage between men and women, and between rural and urban residents, but that the government would now like to see more from mobile money in terms of quality of financial products and impact, as access and usage are no longer enough.
She also said that the study’s finding that 75% of Kenyans have financial services access, was higher than the USA figure of 67%. Another important finding was that, while cash remains king as a payment option for majority of the population, 59% of Kenyans now have more than one way of paying for things – compared to 18% in the first survey.
Interswitch products have been deployed in many African markets and can be used to extend services to bank customers in a variety of ways:
The Payment Switch is used by many banks; In Kenya they enable customers of dozens of banks to use each other’s ATM’s and to do account to mpesa and mpesa to their bank account transactions, even at ATM’s where they don’t have to use bank ATM cards to transact. In Nigeria, Interswitch is at at all commercial banks meaning a total network of 13,000 ATM’s are available for customers to use, and in Uganda there are 13 banks with 280 ATMs. Interswitch has just launched in Tanzania, their 6th market in Eastern Africa. Customers of these banks enjoy lower costs of transactions than with mobile providers and seamless transactions as they cross borders to trade within Africa.
Mobile solutions. An example is Centenary Bank Uganda whose customers have mobile wallets known as CenteMobile with which customers can pay their utility bills, take part in fundraisers and transfer funds, among other bank services.
Agency Banking & kiosks: Interswitch powers agency banking which is a customer delivery channel that many banks are now adopting to extending their reach, while controlling costs. Interswitch powers all KCB Mtaani – bank agent locations as well as the teller kiosks in Nakumatt where customers go to load points, get mpesa and airtel money or buy airtime.
Banks Card : Verve is the leading card brand in Nigeria, and the chip & Pin card has been issued to almost 30 million customers of various banks in Nigeria, West Africa and soon Eastern Africa, starting with KCB and UBA. Verve cards are accepted on Paypal, and one new feature enable Verve cards to send one time pay codes to friends or family members so they can withdraw set amounts at ATM’s.
Loyalty Programs: Interswitch powers loyalty programs for banks such as First Bank Nigeria; Customers earn points for carrying out transaction on their bank accounts or by using their Verve cards; They can get cash back for card usage, and can get gift items and discounts at select merchants, some of who are online.
This morning, a session was held by the law firm of Anjarwalla & Khanna in Nairobi to advise stakeholders abount the new Companies Act and Insolvency Act that are now law.
The Cabinet Secretary for Industrialisation, Adan Mohamed, said that the day when President Uhuru Kenyatta signed 4 bills into law – the companies act, insolvency act, special economic zones act and business registration act – was his proudest day in two years in the Cabinet.
Partners at the law firm explained various sections of the new companies act including:
It makes businesses easy to register and operate – and one person can form a company.
Memo (can be one page long) & articles are simpler
Role of the company secretary has been clarified. Corporate governance has been clarified with penalties for directors and management including for conflict of interest.
30% local shareholding in a foreign company. Adan said this was a mistake that the government would rectify. The team from Anjarwalla & Khanna said that while the 30% rule is probably constitutional it’s impractical, and the AG & government agree. They also explained that it is for new branches only – and does not apply to existing branches, or to any subsidiaries of foreign companies
It gives minority shareholders court powers if main shareholder/management are prejudicial or make bad decisions / transactions on behalf of the company
New company is able to do anything including borrow unless if it restricted
PE Investor oversight: Investors can attend board meetings as observers and without being directors or legally bound by decisions
A company must have at least one natural person as a director (all companies have 6 months to rectify this)
Companies can buy back shares from other shareholders
Kshs. 6.75 million (~$67,500) is the minimum paid-up share capital for a public company (this will affect some land owning companies and large property developers)
Public companies need to know who beneficially owns their shares (the true owners behind proxies)
Companies are required to have websites and to publish financial statements online
Share buy backs are now allowed.
All shareholders have rights to preemption when companies create new shares – (and this can only be from profits, not new money)
MBO and LBO: Banks could not finance acquisitions, but now they can. e.g. Management can to a bank and use the assets of the company secure financing to buy it or pay off foreign outgoing shareholders – (this opens another exit opportunity for investors)
Adan also said that the insolvency law, which previously was aimed on recoveries for secured creditors, is now focused on bringing insolvent companies back to life.