Urban Inflation Index: December 2014

It’s been over a year and a half since the last urban inflation index. So let’s see what the differences are in tracking changes compared to 5 years ago and to the last index which was in July 2013..

There is a current debate about the impact of many external and internal events on the Kenyan economy and the cost of living. Some of these include insecurity around the country which has directly impacted the tourism sector, investments in infrastructure (the standard gauge railway,) education, electricity generation (coal, geothermal) new laws by counties, unregulated or illegal imports of some commodities like maize and , and digital changes (in public service vehicle fares and television broadcasting) etc.

Gotten Cheaper

None really

About the Same

Mobile Communications: Costs are largely unchanged, but there’s a push to do more now. Safaricom launched 4G a few days ago,and like Airtel, they have taken to pushing many messages to reward and retain customers at the same time. Current promotions include buy a Samsung and you may win a BMW, pay by m-pesa and you may win a house etc. Meanwhile Airtel and Safaricom have respectively absorbed the customers and assets of (Essar) Yu that has exited Kenya, while Orange is also looking to sell out.

Staple Food: A 2kg pack of (Unga) maize flour, which is used to make Ugali that is eaten by a majority of Kenyans daily, costs Kshs. 101 compared to 104 in July 2013. But it was Kshs 83 in December 2009.

Missing Mumias Sugar

Missing Mumias Sugar

Beer/Entertainment: A bottle of Tusker beer is Kshs  200 (~$2.3) at a local pub same as it was in July 2013. However, 5 years ago it was Kshs 140.

Other food item: A 2 kg. Mumias Sugar pack is Kshs 250, same as last July. However it was 200 in December 2009 and today Mumias Sugar is a shadow of it’s former self limping under debts and losses, with their sugar products now difficult to find in many Nairobi supermarkets.

Electricity: Consumers have been told to expect to see an electricity price drop in their bills, but many are not sure.  KPLC shifted many customers to a new prepaid system a few years back and it is tough for most customers to understand how far their money goes in terms of actual electricity delivered (see this FAQ)..and while the cost of fuel, forex charges on bills appear lower, it still does not translate into more units of power per shilling.

More Expensive

Fuel: At Kshs 106.8 per litre ($5.40/gallon) fuel is slightly cheaper than the 109.52 of  July  2013 – and just today, the government has lowered that to Kshs 102.01, with diesel at 90.85 and Kerosene at 71.37. However petrol was Kshs 83 in December 2009 – and with the recently there has been a sharp drop in the international price of oil, there has been expectations that the petrol price drop would be greater. International oil is about $57 per barrel now, compared to $95 in July 2013 and $75 in December 2009.

Cost of Financial Inclusion: Bank charges are creeping up for many. The government now taxes a 10% tax on every fee-levied by a bank on a customer – whether it’s for an M-Pesa withdrawal, ledger fee, new debit/credit card, even a tax payment..a tax on almost every charge except for loan interest.

Foreign Exchange: 1 US$ equals Kshs 90.56 compared to 87.15 in July 2013. The dollar was exchanging at 75.62 in December 2009.
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