Category Archives: Safaricom

Urban Inflation Index: December 2011

What a year it has been, mostly not for the better with petrol and dollar prices setting records, and accompanied by other shortages. The Kenya government started a military anti-terror expedition in Somalia, and as war expenses can drastically alter government spending budgets, it was recently decided to bring the mission to the United Nations and have them offset the war cost to some extent.

On to the index comparing prices to three three months ago and year ago!

Gotten Cheaper:
Foreign Exchange: 1 US$ equals Kshs. 84 compared to Kshs 95.6 three months ago and 80.5 a year ago. That snapshot does not capture the roller coaster quarter the shillings has hard, dropping to an unprecedented level of Kshs. 107 to the dollar (and being ranked as one of the worst performing currencies in the world) before the Government instituted an interest rate hike and cut back liquidity to the banking sector. While the shilling was in free fall, and few could explain why, a World Bank blog post revealed that Kenya’s exports were (at the time) not enough to meet the country’s fuel bill, (Three years ago it cost Kshs 79 /$)

Staple Food: Maize flour, which is used to make Ugali that is eaten by a majority of Kenyans daily. A 2kg pack costs Kshs. 113, down from a record high of 119 in September, but still almost double the Ksh.s 69 cost in December 2010 (Three years ago it cost Kshs 97)

Other food item: Sugar : A 2 kg. Mumias pack which was Kshs. 385 in September is now 375, but still almost double the Kshs 195 of last December. In other news Kenya seems to have applied for another extension of a COMESA import cap, denying consumers the option of cheaper sugar imports to protect the largely uncompetitive local producers who have trouble ensuring adequate supply of sugar into supermarkets.

About the same:
Communications: These are largely unchanged though Safaricom announced a modest price increase by of voice call tariffs (which Orange are itching to follow) and @Kahenya says that corporate m-pesa tariffs have also been increased.

Beer/Entertainment: A bottle of Tusker beer is Kshs 180 ($2) (at a local pub) , unchanged from three months ago. The alcohol sector has a lot of competition now with the new brands being launched (Miller Genuine Draft) and others revived/getting new marketing pushes (Redds, White Cap Light, Heineken, Windhoek, Sierra) in a realignment of brands and owners between East African Breweries (EABL) and SAB Miller.

More Expensive
Fuel: A litre of petrol was Kshs. 124 up from 117.7 in September and 94.3 last December. Two days ago, in reaction to threats of transport operators to go on strike during Christmas week, the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) announced the first ever price reduction since the introduction of the price control regime – and for Nairobi the cost of petrol will be Kshs 119 (~$6.2 per gallon) till January 15 2012. (Three years ago it cost Kshs 92.7)

Utilities: Pre-paid electricity is about Kshs 2,500 per month (up from the regular purchases totaling 2,000). There are rolling blackouts as seen in the ads run by the Kenya Power company, spreading the shortfall across the country.

LPG – Cooking gas has been in short supply in different parts of the country, with many sellers in Nairobi not having any stock to sell for weeks. Those that do are selling them at increased prices – e.g. cylinders that used to costs Kshs 2,500 for 13KG, are selling at between Kshs 3,200 – 5,000 if you can find them.

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First World Problems in a Third World Country

Ory (@kenyanpundit) reigned some of us with a recent comment that people are complaining on twitter about a lack of parking at the Junction Mall in Nairobi, while there are people near there who don’t have enough food to eat.

I realized that it’s something that happens a lot. Today I spent the whole morning searching for cooking gas (LPG) which has been in short supply in Nairobi for about a month. Is that a superficial or a genuine subject worth ranting about?

Other common complaints on twitter include:
– Not having tap water or being caught in darkness when the electricity distributed by Kenya Power goes off (including both at Jomo Kenyatta International Airport – JKIA)
– MPesa downtime which are almost a weekly routine with Safaricom
– Bad service issues at the bank or with an internet service provider
– A delayed Kenya Airways flight
– Newly done roads that develop potholes within a few weeks
– Companies that don’t respond to email
– Satellite TV that cuts off when it starts raining
– The increasingly bad traffic (and bad driving styles) around Nairobi

These are hardly life altering situations to tweet or complain about – and seem like trivial first world problems in a third world country. But they are unnecessary inconveniences for busy people with plans and appointments who have become accustomed to things like having regular electricity & internet connectivity, the ability to send money by phone at any time to any corner of the country, the convenience of boarding a flight to Mombasa and arriving in time for a court case or business appointment & return to Nairobi the same day, not having to pay a bribe or tip to get good customer service from a government or private office etc.

They have expectations of service that, when not met cause a un-anticipated re-deployment of resources usually precious time e.g. six hours driving around town, burning (sometimes scarce) petrol in search of (LPG) cooking gas or having to call in a previous favour to accomplish a routine matter.

The sad thing about this is that (at least in Kenya) politics is the missing link, and people here become accustomed to have low expectations about political class (Sonko) and their decision making. This is a fatal assumption as the 2007 election period showed and as we grapple with unnecessary & expensive challenges of infrastructure, distribution, under-employment, inflation, corruption, taxation, the solutions require the adherence of the political class to leave the third world

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Guide to Tunis

A Guest post

Intro: Despite the changes sweeping across North Africa, business analyst and columnist, Carol Musyoka took some time to visit Tunis and kindly agreed to do a guest post

Getting There: You have limited choices, flying to Tunisia and have to go through the Middle East or through France. Tickets from Nairobi start at about $800 on Emirates, Eqypt Air, or Qatar Air (which I used).

The airport (process) is horrendous as Visas are issued on arrival. Though, my hosts had already pre-arranged for the visa, the officials at the airport were rude and sleepy – and despite arriving at 6 A.M, I only left the airport at 9 A.M. Also, they only accept payment in Tunisian dinars (which no one carries) and you have to be given a pass to walk out of the Arrivals terminal to go to a foreign currency bureau to get it.

Getting Around: Tunis has a very good public transport system in the form of buses. I used a cab once or twice, but it’s too hot to walk around since temperatures were in the forties!

Security was good pre-Ben Ali (Abidine Ben Ali was ousted as President in January 2011) and has slightly deteriorated. However I never felt any danger because it was summertime and the streets would be packed past midnight.

Language/Communication: The language you need here to get around is French, not English. I didn’t make any calls but used my Safaricom roaming to send text messages for the two days I was there, only to come home and find a bill of approximately Kshs 5,000/- ($60) for two days of texts!

Food & Life: There are different kinds of hotels as Tunis is a big tourist destination. Also an important point to note about African cities these days is that the electricity supply is very reliable.

Main local dishes are couscous and lots of Middle Eastern food. very delicious for the adventurous palate. Beer and alcohol was available and is now available to the locals unlike during Ben Ali’s time when there were restrictions on how much they could buy at the supermarket.. Imported wine costs horrendously as they have a protectionist policy to promote local brands

Much of the street & bar talk at this point is about life post-Ben Ali especially as there’s so much freedom now that the secret police have been disbanded.

Shopping/Sight-Seeing: The beaches and of course the ancient city of Carthage. There are lots of shopping areas, but I loved Sidi Busaid the most. Tourists buy tons of knick-knacks made from porcelain and camel leather.

Biggest surprise about the country: That it feels like you’re in a European country with an Arab population. Also, and even more amazing, was finding that they have black people from the South! One odd sight was that there are tons of men who just hang out at cafes smoking cigarettes and shisha pipes all day.

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Urban Inflation Index: June 2011

Comparing changes to three months ago, last year and June 2009 in an interesting quarter with price swings in food, currencies and fuel.

Less Expensive:

Nothing really that’s being measured

About the Same:

Communications: Cell phone rates are still low, and while Safaricom appear to have survived the Airtel-initiated price war, recording a marginal full-year profit drop of 12% down to ~$220 million on increased revenue of 12% to ~$1.1 billion, the government is getting anxious about the price wars and impact on mobile companies and tax revenue.

Last week, Kenya’s President seemed to direct for an end to the mobile price wars in Kenya. Also Essar’s Yu Mobile has denied they are considering an exit from the Kenyan market while Safaricom and France Telkom (Orange) are about to sign a tower sharing agreement.

More Reading – The Economist has an interesting article on the India mobile phone market which may explain the vision the direction that Bharti Airtel is taking in Africa.

Other food item: Sugar (2 kg. Mumias pack) is at Kshs 190; a year ago it was 200, and the year before was 175. It will likely stay the same until the COMESA sugar import ceiling ends in 2012.

More Expensive:

Fuel: A Litre of petrol fuel is now Kshs 114.93, which is 26% higher than a year ago and 58% higher than two years ago. The fuel sector is characterized by accusations and allegations every other week about favouritism, manipulation of prices & shipments, corruption, capacity etc. – all while the price continues to rise.

Staple Food: A 2 kg. Unga pack (maize flour), which is used to make Ugali that is eaten by a majority of Kenyans daily today costs Kshs. 130 at Uchumi. This is 83% higher than the 71 of a year ago – and two years ago it was 92, the year before it was 73. The price fluctuations may have some artificial influence by maize farmers holding on to their crop in the hope of a better price from the Government and millers. Shrugging this off, the Government today waived tax on maize that will be imported between June and December 2011 to avert a food disaster in the country.

Foreign Exchange: 1 US$ equals Kshs. 89.37 compared to 80.6 last year and 77.9, two years ago. It is reported to have not seen such lows since 1994 when Goldenberg scandal exploded and shook the Kenyan economy. However, while focus is on the US dollar (which this month exchanges for less than a Canadian dollar) other currencies are also at levels not seen in years – like the Sterling Pound at 146, Euro at 129, and South Africa Rand at 13.

Utilities: Electricity: Many customers of KPLC have been converted to pre paid electricity and the only to get a breakdown of costs is by buying a token at a Kenya Power office. It’s much more convenient to re-load or top up electricity by mobile phone payments (M-pesa or Airtel money) and a payment of Kshs. 500 obtains 29 units of electricity – compared to 51 units for the same amount two months ago, – implying that electricity costs 43% more!
Meanwhile the city’s other major utility provider, the Nairobi Water Company also plans to convert some of its customers to a pre-paid billing system to stem illegal connections and improve revenue collection.

Entertainment: A bottle of Tusker beer (at a local pub) costs Kshs. 140 ($1.55). However, the recommended retail price of a Tusker bottle went up to Kshs. 95 in April (after last being hiked by 38% to Kshs. 90 after the June 2010 budget speech) and beers currently sell for between Kshs. 150 – 220 in most Nairobi pubs.

Tusker was re-launched in a new bottle in April, but that rebrand has received mixed reviews with some patrons calling the bottle a Probox after a Toyota station wagon that has a similar boxy shape.

EABL is also in the process of severing ties with SAB Miller a rival South African brewer, after many years of a cease fire & cross ownership – and they are expected to soon renew their beer battles in both Kenya and Tanzania.
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How developers can make money with Safaricom – Part II

One of the unintended effects of Airtel’s price wars with Safaricom in Kenya is that it has made Safaricom more responsive to Kenyan developers in terms of collaboration on products, services, platforms etc.

This has long been a peeve of local developers that’s Safaricom has not been (open), leading to the company coming up with a mooted innovation board as a forum to improve the interaction process with local developers.

And if you do get the chance, remember it’s a two year money-making cycle of boom and bust with Safaricom.
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situs gacor