Category Archives: Safaricom IPO

Economic Stimulus Friday

This month US citizens get a second windfall cheque from President George W. Bush as economic stimulus cheques arrive in their mailboxes of at least $300 (~Kshs. 19,000) per person, and more for parents and guardians with children. (The first was after he pipped Al Gore to the presidency and came through with one his main campaign promises).

But they are being rewarded and banks cushioned largely because of blind/(dumb)real estate and investments decisions – buying houses & using up credit on borrowed cash of extending sub-prime finance in anticipation of even higher housing prices.

Kenyans went though a contested election and a period of post election violence, after they did their part and voted faithfully in the presidential election. 99% had no part in the election tallying or violence that followed or the stalemate that paralyzed the economy for two months.

But instead of a stimulus, we are coping with higher food, fuel, and transport prices that are only expected to get higher in the aftermath of rising oil prices, an expanded government, infrastructure repair projects, and the downturn of agricultural produce this year.

Instead of a stimulus, the Government has flatly refused to
lower petrol taxes (which may ease some of the burden on citizens and companies), and civil servants (government workers), are being asked to contribute financially to the resettlement of displaced Kenyans – a target figure has been arbitrarily set at Kshs. 30 billion ($485 million). It remains to be seen how much will be raised from citizens who were able to fork out over 80 billion shillings ($1.3 billion) in pursuit of the Safaricom IPO (and money for which the Government still holds)

So who needs a stimulus more?

Regional banks and dueling websites

Diamond Trust Bank will this month ask their shareholders to approve:
– participation of the bank in a rights issue of their Ugandan subsidiary
– Approve expansion to Burundi (odd or smart considering that other banks have focused on Rwanda)

Dueling web sites

DTB, with a new corporate name, has a new website but they should probably map /discontinue their old site or it may give the impression that its another company that doesn’t bother to update its website.

KCB who are also going to increase their capital to support regional expansion, and cross-listing on the stock exchanges in Tanzania and Uganda, have consolidated their company to a group website, abandoning their kcb.co.ke

Also caught up in the confusion of domains between (.co.ke) and (.com) is the Safaricom IPO. The former is the official site, which applicants could use to apply online for shares. The government should have cracked down on transaction adviser – Dyer & Blair who opened the latter site and may have created some confusion. Though more active and up to date (even has a blog of sorts), the Dyer site attracted people who thought it was the official site and some confused investors have been logging in their to track their applications without realizing that it is not the official site

IPO Guilt Part II: Rule of queues

As I looked for place to pay for the shares today, I found lines around the block, and remember there were also some at 8 PM last night.

On the way here I passed another (even longer) queue – the one outside Nation Center for customers of collapsed Nyaga Stockbrokers. I hope I’m wrong in my feeling that the NSE/CMA receivers will use their bounty raised from Safaricom IPO, to pay off these claims and let the manager/owners/directors keep their stolen funds – the same thing happened last year with Francis Thuo stockbrokers, only that the funds came from Renaissance Investment Bank who bough FT’s seat. And the crackdown on generous stockbrokers is a sideshow to distract from the Nyaga issue

– When one arrives at a stockbroker or any crowded office in Kenya such as a voting booth or the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA), there is an unwritten and often ignored rule of queues which translates to make sure you’re in the right queue – and the broker office had several (all long) – for opening new CDS accounts, filling out IPO forms, applying for loans, for drawing bankers cheques, for paying by cash, paying by cheque etc. I am grateful that by applying online (IPO Guilt Part I), I effectively bypassed ¾ of these queues
– The best way to confirm you’re in the right queue is to ask someone who knows about them. It’s sad to say that it many banks and offices (even on ‘normal’ days), that person is the security guard – that lowly paid uniformed man/woman inside the halls, who has attained seniority after a few years on the outside of the buildings. Banks use/misuse them as their (unrewarded) customer service agents, and today they were handing out deposit slips, explaining to customers the rules of payment, pointing out the right queue etc. I hope they are paid extra for that, but I doubt it. Where the banks are own people? The lovely ladies who pounce on you in supermarket or movie halls hawking bank loans? They are here too, but the burden of contact is reversed – out there I am the one who avoids making eye contact and hurries past their strategically obstructing table; inside here, they are the ones avoiding eye contact, looking very busy and hurrying past the queues.
– There is a lot of misinformation, up and down the queue; did you hear that? You have to pay for that, you have to go back outside for that, haiya – you filled the wrong form, and they will refuse your application! Etc.
IPO’s create jobs and I got one today! But only for the day, and without any pay at. The broker office had a complicated queue arrangement so that those at the front of the queue would, at some point, have to walk through those at the back of the queue. I was asked to deputize (for the watchman) and do crowd control at the intersection. Wearing a black suit and blue shirt (bank uniform in Kenya) bestows credibility and I suddenly looked like IPO official, and got to answer questions from other customers. When I could not answer, I’d check with the watchman! – such as when I was unable to explain to why people paying less than 20,000 shillings (~$315) would also have to buy bankers cheques for 200 shillings, while those paying more would be exempt. People also kept asking to cut the queue, pleading that they had just been told that they had come from the wrong queue or that they had been here for two hours – sorry lady I’ve been here for three hours already!
complaints People kept complaining about the length of queues, and why the broker did not have more tellers and counters to process the applications. Some were even pleading for the IPO to be extended for another two days to Friday. Where were they (and where was I) for the last four weeks since March 26?
– No rules today apply – you can use the phone, drink their water; even eat in the bank halls. But they should also have let in one or two hawkers to sell airtime, serve biscuits/water/juice etc, but that would make customers nervous who by virtue of being in this line, must all have at eats 10,000 shillings each in cash. But it would also be unfortunate if someone fainted when she was waiting to pay 200,000 shillings ($3,000) alone and be far away from any First Aid.
– This is the second all day queuing session for me in four months, and hope that, unlike the last one (election on December 27), the result does not rock the country. Bt if almost 1 million people queued and bought shares in little-known/understood companies like Kengen and Scangroup, how many of the nine million people who use Safaricom everyday will have bought shares by the end of today? I may revise up my 2 million estimate. But fist they have to get to clear all eth queue hurdles. I predict future IPO’s from the little known private sector companies will have minimum subscription amounts of over 100,000 shillings to limit shareholder number

IPO Guilt

I am

Guilty of having to get into an IPO queue after signaling a wavering of my IPO strategy (its political season)

Guilty of waiting till the last minute; procrastination is a Kenyan habit, and the queues of Safaricom are very long in the last 24 hours, despite the IPO having run for almost a month. What were we waiting for? (and does Obama carry this gene?)

Party guilty of not fully embracing technology: it’s actually possible to buy the shares without having to join a stockbroker queue if (i) you apply online at the official IPO site (which I did) but I did not (ii) attempt to pay via ATM for the same shares. IPO’s tend to run on a different cycle and I didn’t want to be time barred for a delay in funds

More on the official IPO site; it calls for a leap of faith like buying an air ticket online with boarding pass and successfully completing the flight. But the site does not seem to allow for any amendments (buy more or less shares or even cancel an order after you have applied.

And then I received this ominous e-mail from whoever runs the official site

Safaricom IPO”
To: ___________________
Subject: SAFARICOM IPO APPLICATION: PENDING PAYMENT
Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2008

Dear Sir or Madam,

Thank you for your online application for Safaricom IPO shares dated 4/__/2008 reference _______, in the name of ______.

Please note that the next stage of the application process is to make payment for your application at the receiving bank or broker that you selected, by the close of the IPO offer period on Wednesday April 23rd 2008.

If you have already made payment for your application, kindly disregard this email.

In the event of any queries, contact us via email at safaricomipo@swiftkenya.com or call us on +254 20 2754300.

Warm regards
Customer Service Team
Safaricom IPO at Citi

So let’s see how it goes in the last day of the IPO as I pay for the shares.

across the border: Stanbic Uganda, another over-subscribed IPO from 2007 performed even better than expected with a nice dividend of Ug. Shillings 6.64 shillings per share. Maybe I should try the Zambia Celtel IPO too

E-government and privacy

Online IPO Registrations I applied online for my Safaricom IPO shares.

There’s the official site for the IPO registration that is very easy to use. Just type in your CDS number and ID number and ID/ passport number (that you used to open the CDS account) to get started ( it’s an indictment for investor education initiatives by the CMA that there are leaders and executives who still don’t know what a CDS account) – and you get all your information like contact information, select your stockbroker, how you want your refunds and dividends to be handled etc.

Some Kenyans may find it unnerving to see their information in an online public database, like having Safaricom know where you are . The Electoral Commission of Kenya (ECK) enabled online verification of vote registration (I checked and confirmed mine online, but it was missing from the voting day roll) in one of the many positive things they did before the election, and the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) which utilizes the internet for some clearing & forwarding processes ahs also promised to enable online tax filing and driver license.

Econet hiring Econet mobile has promised to launch services by August 2008, with new partners Essar. They even advertised for some jobs in the Friday paper, something they have done several times before. Hopefully, the company will become operational and the jobs materialize