Category Archives: NSE IPO

Scangroup IPO Results

Scangroup received over 100,000 applications of which 12,800 rejected, leaving 96,000 valid applicants

Individuals
93,000 applications
– Those who applied for 1,000 shares have been allocated 300 shares
– 10,000 get 500
– 100,000 get 1,000
– 1 million get just 3,000 shares

Institutions
2,900 applications
Who applied for up to 10,000 will get full allocations.

Employees
80 applications
Those who applied for up to 15,000 will get a full allocation.

Lesson of the day: apply as an institution if allocation has been pre-determined prior to IPO

Other

Declining money transfers
Fewer people are using Western Union to transfer money. Despite reducing their fees earlier this year, it seems more people are using alternatives and other other methods to get around the still high costs.

Wish of the day
Be like Nepal where protesters have forced the to government to reduce fuel prices. Here, notorious Koinange Street has the highest prices and the fuel stations there are always the first to raise prices, giving an indication of how prices will soon be in the rest of the City. (From dealbreaker)

Funding for Kenyan SME’s
The European Investment Bank (EIB) will contribute US $5 million to the Business Partners International Kenya SME Fund (BPI-K) which invests between USD50,000 (Kshs. 3.75million) and USD500,000 (Kshs. 38m) in small? companies.

People
– The Economist catches up with Ayisi Makatiani.

– Who is the Aga Khan besides being a major shareholder through his foundation in NMG, Diamond Trust, Jubilee, Serena and numerous other private, educational and charitable initiatives in Kenya?

Kenya Re IPO

In another budget promise fulfilled, the Government will sell 40% of Kenya Reinsurance Corporation in an IPO, probably by the end of the year, or early in 2007.

They have now advertised for a lead transaction adviser, legal advisor, reporting accountant, receiving bank, PR firm and lead broker. Applications are expected at Treasury by September 8.

Equity Bank Listing: A to Z

About Equity Bank, will have a secondary listing on the Nairobi Stock Exchange next month at a price of Kshs. 70 per share. I located an information memorandum (prospectus) at a thanksgiving celebration /prayer /dinner the company threw for 3,000 Nairobi customers at KICC last night – and went through it to decide on whether to buy the shares next month.

Commissions: Banking at Equity is not cheap, and this is the situation in the entire the micro-finance sector – and Equity will probably have to lower some of their bank charges. Their account opening minimums are very low, but some of their charges e.g. cheque clearing are rather high compared to other banks who are now targeting Equity’s customers.

However lowering charges may not be an easy option since these form a greater portion of the Bank’s income (52i%) than at its peers (CFC 33%) NIC (24%) and D-Trust (30%).

Employment: Despite the staff high turnover, the bank is a good, fast growing, employer that has gone from 354 employees in 2003, to 884 in 2005. It has 35 branches, (14 in Central province, 8 in Nairobi) and over half of them have opened in the last two years.

One issue I disagree with in the memorandum is that Africap agreed to sell 50% of their shareholding in the Bank to staff. But the truth is that staff were forced into buying these shares. The staff trust (unregistered staff ESOP) now owns 5.52% of the Bank’s shares, same as Africap.

Listing costs: Floatation was much cheaper than a new IPO. Equity’s listing is budgeted at 28 million compared to the Kengen IPO at 401 million and KCB rights issue at 104 million. The CMA and NSE get their fees (8.1m and 1.5m here respectively) as they did from Kengen (24m, 1.5m) and KCB (6.1m, 0.5m) and most of the savings come from not having to pay stockbrokerage and advertising costs. Equity has budgeted 11m for the financial advisers and sponsoring brokers; compare this to Kengen who paid 101m for advertising & 118m to brokers and KCB who paid 13m for advertising, 6m to brokers, 37m as agent commissions, 9m for postage, and 11.5m for printing etc.

Loans: Equity has been keen to grow their loan book ever since they became a bank to keep up with their ever-growing deposits. They have five times as many depositors as they do borrowers and while this was acceptable at a micro-finance level, it is important they grow their interest income.

They doubled their loan portfolio in 2005 from 2.9 to 5.5 billion, but NPA’s likewise doubled from 246m to 519m. Their loan to deposit ratio is now 72% (June 2006) which is comparable to CFC (76%), NIC (85% and D-Trust (785) at the beginning of the year

Management: The MD, current Chairman, and former Chairman, are among the largest shareholder in the Bank – and along with employees (in the ESOP) are barred from selling their shares for the next two years.

Marketing: Equity is now a Bank and should focus on marketing as a bank, not a micro-finance institution. The more, the MD shouts about how the Bank is not about one community, being very liquid, excellent global capital rating, not depending on government deposits etc, the more it makes one think about those very issues. Imagine if Adan Mohamed said the same thing about Barclays every time he was on TV. The focus should shift to marketing the bank’s customers, products, and convenience.

Nakumatt like: I’d compare Equity to Nakumatt in terms of their fast growth and they also own very little property (branches).

Ownership: Confusing to say the least, and it would be good to know why the management took such a convoluted route – from building society converting to a bank, converting deposits into shares, private placement to finance the bank’s share capital, and finally the issue of 4 bonus shares for each 1 held that created the 90m shares, that will be on offer in August.

Pesa Point: Equity has signed an agreement with Pesa Point to link their ATMs.

Verdict: In 2005 the Bank returned a pre-tax profit of 501 million, which translated to an EPS of 3.77, up, from 2.51 the year before. (Dividend was Kshs. 2 per share, same as in 2004). The Bank is on track for another year of record profits of 800 million before tax and could pass the billion shilling milestone next year.

The memorandum contains joint statements by Dyer & Blair and Suntra Stocks that values Equity shares (par value 5/=) using the DDM method at Kshs. 91.4 shillings per share, PBV at 64/=, and PE method 63.4 shillings per share. The advisers reckon that this compares well to CFC, Diamond Trust and NIC banks, who they consider to be Equity’s’ peers listed on the NSE

Yes, Buy Equity: But not immediately. It will take a few months for the share to settle since the current 2,800 shareholders of the bank will have to open CDS accounts and immobilize their shares before they can be traded. In 2006, 2.5 m shares have been sold in the OTC market. A share split is likely but it is also prudent to ask if the Bank is growing too fast.

Don’t sell Kengen

Official allocation results of Kengen IPO were published today for the shares, which start trading on Wednesday May 17.

Applicants who applied for 500 (will get 500 shares), 1,000 – (812 shares), 2000 – (1,436), 5,000 – (3,309), 10,000 – (6,431) and applicants who applied for more than 10,000 will also receive only 6,431 shares.

Already some lucky investors are planning to cash out at 30/= or 50/= shillings per share within a few weeks of the shares trading.

However, institutional investors, who were short-changed in the allocations, may hold firm and choose to wait out the individual shareholders (burdened by bank and other loans) by holding out to buy at the lowest price, preferably at or below the IPO price of 12/=.

The best performing shares I bought in the last year are Express Kenya and Diamond Trust which have both gained about 78% to date. But they pale in comparison to other shares held for many years such as KCB and Kenya Airways which have only come into their own recently with strong management and direction, and have yielded over 1,000% each, not including dividends.

So it pays to keep the shares over the long term and not to cash out of Kengen this year.

Kengen be gone

Today is the closing day of the Kengen IPO period after which, hopefully the share market can go back to normal. Customer service has been poor, if not non-existsent – so a a poem

Kengen be gone
with stockbrokers who change rules
“who told you to write to Kengen IPO A/C?”
“says so on the application form”
“No that’s only for banker’s cheques”
“we are not accepting personal cheques even if you have an account with us”
e-mail’s unanswered
wrong shares bought
resulting in second and third visits to correct these matters
each taking a wasted hour to do anything
fighting for seats with Kenyans who feel too important to queue and demand instant service
because they are not new kengen riff raff
Dealing with kids who have been working for a month
on the basics of Kengen only
nothing beyond
but already over-whelmned
paperwork has piled up
some brokers now have night shifts
to process paperwork
One actually made a shocking move
and changed computer systems
in the middle of the IPO period
but balances did not reconcile
So, Kengen be gone
let’s go back to normal
until Sarova, Equity and Scangroup
come calling for the masses again