Monthly Archives: August 2010

Briefcase VC

What’s briefcase VC?

In Kenya we are familiar with briefcase NGO’s and briefcase contractors. ‘Briefcase’ is a not so nice was of describe someone who has access to power but does not invest resources in business. A briefcase NGO has no programs or operations, and exists merely to solicit funds from donors, while a briefcase contractors wins government contracts/tender (through the influence of a power network) which he/she has no capacity to implement, then sub-contracts these to compete firms (without access).

A Briefcase VC (venture capitalist) is probably a tourist on holiday, who calls around or approaches vibrant local tech companies with unsolicited offers to invest in them – but has no funds or capacity (beyond a website) to do so and no recent deals to speak of, and unfortunately are able to put hungry young companies through hoops as they restructure and comply in the hope of getting funding that it unlikely to materialize.

Shares Portfolio August 2010

Market picking up steadily since last quarterly review in May 2010

The stable
Diamond Trust ↑
Kenya Airways ↓
KCB ↓
Kenol ↓
Safaricom
Scangroup ↑
Stanbic (Uganda) ↓
Uchumi ↔

Review:
– Best performer: Scangroup Safaricom up 25% this quarter
– Worst performer Kenya Airways down 10%
– In: Kenol
– Out: None
– Increase None
– Decrease None
– Unexpected gains/losses: None

Events & Outlook:
– Performance: The Portfolio is up 8% in the last three months while the NSE Index is up 10%.
– Got dividends from all the banks, which are improved performance this year. Dividend included that from Stanbic Uganda but its still a problems to cash as Stanbic Kenya is incapable of partnering with Stanbic Uganda to ease the encashment process – even better would be for Stanbic Kenya though CSFS to facilitate more share buying perhaps reinvestment of dividends to buy more Stanbic UG shares
– Sat out the KCB rights issues whose results came out today (August 10). The Bank had set out to raise Kshs 15 billion ($189 million) from shareholders but yielded 83% of that – 12.45 billion
– Scangroup’s investment in Ogilvy Africa
– Kenol rebounded from problems at battle with government to report some much improved first half profits.
– Looking forward to buying Safaricom shares, and attending their (no SWAG) AGM
– Uchumi is yet to re-list despite exiting their receivership phase

KQ leased 737 from KLM

– Privatization: The Kenya Government is short on cash but their privatization basket is still empty. Nothing has come yet from National bank and East African Portland cement, while the next infusion of cash is likely to be from Kenya Power & Lighting Company. Meanwhile the Kenya government bond market has been much more active than the equity one.

Government Contracting to SME’s

The Government of Kenya is collectively the biggest spending entity in the whole country. Yet provision of goods and services to the government is often over-looked by small and medium enterprises (SME). Many do so for a variety of reasons, some of which are late payments for good/services delivered, demands for bribes from government procuring officers, costly and time-consuming red tape procedures.

However the opportunities are there for small companies to take. It is wrong to look at this collectively because different ministries, parastatals, agencies are governed under different rules of administration and purchasing. Over the last few years the procurement process has been streamlined at many government bodies. More tenders are advertised to the public giving more opportunity for new bidders, Corruption is not as blatant and the avenues for redress in this regard have opened up. Also there are opportunities in technology that new upstart companies can grab if they are prepared for the process.

A glance at some recent GoK procurement awards at the website of the public procurement oversight authority (PPOA) shows some technology related awards including:
– Direct loading of Safaricom airtime for senior staff at the Kenya Revenue Authority – won by Safaricom (Kshs 7.8 million)
– Provision of documentation software at the Kenya Ports Authority – won by Sap Africa (~Kshs 5.7 million)
– Installation and commission of security software at Kenya Forest Services (Kshs 14.9 million)
– Supply of a network operations for Kenya Education Network- won by Lantech Africa (~Kshs 176 million)
– Provision of data capture at the High Court registry – won by DPH Software Services (Kshs 69.9 million)
– Support of the digital village sat the Kenya ICT board – won by Intelecon Research & Consultancy (~Kshs 25.9 million)

The steps to winning & executing a tender are:

– See advert in the papers
– Pay a stipulated fee to obtain bid documents Kshs 2,000 to 10,000 ($125)
– Return bid documents by a specific date and witness the opening of tenders. Bidders are often asked to provide copies of company profile, financial accounts, list of other similar contracts executed (referees/proof of performance)
– Winner gets limited purchase order (LPO)
– Winner delivers goods
– Winner receives payment

There are variations to this process; sometimes bidders are asked to return only a technical proposal (to demonstrate their understanding and expertise) subject to which those short listed are now asked to provide financial proposals. The lowest bidder at this stage should win though sometimes weighting the technical and financial scores arrives at the winner.

Sometimes a winning bidder may experience delays in procuring goods, or as a result of other factors beyond their control. The end result is that their payment may be delayed. This cash flow cycles often cripples many small business hindering their opportunity to take up new orders while waiting for old payments to be received.

This is where banks products such as solid loop, a contract finance loan, from consolidated bank can assist an SME. However, one major improvement in the PPOA rules is that a government entity cannot put out a tender for a good or service that is not budgeted for and which it has no funds for – and this cuts down on a situation where a company may provide a service that will not be paid for several years.

GoK gives you wings

So government procurement should be looked at in a new light, and many more vibrant emerging companies should seek out as aggressively as they seek out private sector or multinational procurement orders. These can be areas such as payment processes, digitization /archiving of records and web & mobile developments

Media Moment: Newspapers Circulating in Africa

Half-year Growth: Kenya’s Nation Media Group released their half-year results on August 2 in Nairobi. The results were impressive for a media house, and as their CEO (Linus Gitahi) noted, newspapers still show double-digit growth in Asia, Latin America and Africa.

At NMG Circulation numbers were up in terms of Nation copies distributed (up 6%, though no numbers cited), circulation revenue of the East African is 5% and business daily is up 10% – and overall the newspaper division had operating profits up 36% thanks to reduced costs.

NMG has also expanded in the region (Tanzania and Uganda), invested heavily in digital media, but pulled out of a magazine venture (EAMagazines) before it collapsed. (The venture has been revived with new owners, and one magazine True Love is now back in publication)

They have also reached out to the online community and social media – as the CEO mentioned Facebook several times noting the 100,000+ fans of their EASY FM radio station. Also, like with the Pan African Media Conference that marked their 50th anniversary, NMG reached out to the online community via invitations to bloggers to attend the announcement, and the CEO noted the presence of DJ CK (Chris Kirubi) and Aly Khan Satchu of Rich Management.

(The CEO’s half-year presentation can be downloaded from the NMG investor page).

TV In –n- Out: The Indian Ocean Newsletter hinted that a new TV station and a new newspaper would hit the streets of Nairobi on August 1. No newspapers are out yet, but a ‘new’ TV station is now up on air. At recent events, the presence of staff with the ‘GBS’ name (not to be confused with the collapsed UK sports broadcaster GTV) have been noted, but few knew what that meant. Now the station is air with a very powerful signal – as the Good News Broadcast Service a.k.a GBS with a mix of news and Christian programming

However, still missing from free airwaves is CNBC Africa which is no longer broadcast on free TV in Nairobi and is only exclusive to satellite subscribers on DSTV

Kenya Times Falls: Also missing from many streets and the advertising radar is the Kenya Times newspaper which has floundered ever since KANU lost the Presidency in 2002. Dalliances with potential new owners, editors, investors have not borne fruit, and last week there was a notice in the paper about the entire office and press of the newspaper going under the auctioneer’s hammer. Today’s paper has another ad cancelling that auction but it’s probably just a postponement of the inevitable unless …