Monthly Archives: August 2012

Kenya’s Money in the Past Part III: Economic History of Kenya

The Economic History of Kenya is a collection of essays put together by William Ochieng and Robert Maxon. It also features essays by R. T. Ogonda and George Ndege, and links to other writers like Bethwel Ogot, Anyang Nyongo, and Godfrey Muriuki with references to their sources. It shows how from colonial times to the present, the government is crucial to development in a complex set of ways. It also teaches that infrastructure, whether it is railways in the 1910s or fibre cable in 2010, can have a great impact on development. It also shows the importance of collecting economic data and the value of research undertaken years ago by these hard-working writers.

Excerpts:

Agri-Business:

  • East Africa meat commission was set up to destock animal populations in the Akamba areas (100). Later the Kenya Meat Commission was formed in 1950 to do the same, but it collapsed (102)
  • Chief Koinange of Kiambu was one of the first Africans to grow commercial coffee, but he was frustrated by European settlers (83)
  • White maize was brought to Kenya from South Africa to help feed African labour on settler farms (122)
  • Growing maize and beans was a pre-colonial innovation in Kamba land – as were others in Kikuyu (planting yams around tree stumps), and Luyia lands (use of manure, crop rotation) (77)
  • At times of shortage in 1942, the government was engaged in maize buying, but at different prices from settlers (who were paid higher prices) and African farmers – but trade measures like this may have contributed to African nationalism in coming years (214 &  217)

 Colonialism:

  • Africans’ traditional industry was pre-colonial and included the production of hoes, spears, knives, pots, baskets, and fishing boats – and these were put in check by the introduction of western industrial technology (159)
  • Colonialism was a sudden, not well thought out, planned or universally popular move in European nations (56, 57)
  • Britain compensated the Sultan of Oman for the abolition of slave labour in Zanzibar by enabling him to sign commerce treaties with the USA (1833), and France (1844) (58)
  • Colonial rule lasted 68 years in Kenya from 1895 to 1963 (171,201), but  the structures it created are still in place and the neo-colonial state, while being a bad name, is a modern reality (259)
  • Areas that had missionaries, tended to get more colonial government development (269)

Finance & Banking:

  • The British Imperial East Africa company introduced the rupee as currency in 1888 and it was later adopted by the government in 1920 (249). However, the currency depreciated during the war and was never liked by settlers who objected to ties to British India and they pushed for a British currency based on the gold standard (250). But the move to a new gold sovereign currency in 1919 was opposed by the three British banks in East Africa – National Bank of India, Standard Bank and National Bank (SA) as they had invested and lent based on the rupee; a compromise was reached in the form on an East Africans rupee (later called a florin) that would replace the Indian rupee in 1920, however, the florin was not widely used (252)
  • Banks that financed settlers between 1919 and 1935 included merchant houses like Mitchell Cotts, Jardine Matheson Co. and John Gillat Co. who bought settler crops and sold them on world markets at interest rates of 25-30% (125). Banks in Kenya in the 1920s and 1930s included Standard Bank of South Africa, National Bank of India, and Barclays (called Dominion Colonial & Overseas) – who advanced credit towards large-scale import & export commodity production (209, 254). They gave very little loans to agriculture and industrial development (255) as they were averse to long-term lending in Kenya where land security, which was the only collateral, was not assured. This reluctance to lend continued until a Land Agriculture bank was set up in 1930 to make mortgage loans to settlers of up to 30 years at 6.5% and also repaid existing settler debts (Africans were excluded from these) (256)
  • Funds to buy lands from settlers were raised from the World Bank (IBRD) and Colonial Development Corporation (268)
  • ICDC was created in 1964 to provide African finance and participation in industries (267)
  • Even after independence, there was an East African currency board in London that determined monetary policy for East Africa (448)  

Geo-politics:

  • Mombasa was a hotbed of working-class militancy (186, 189) with rail & police strikes and later dock workers from 1900 onwards (mainly in the Majengo area), owing to poor labour & living conditions
  • The economy boomed after WWII, but there was less British influence now (236)
  • Settler hardships in 1920-21 (252-254) and between 1930-39 included locust invasions, a slump in coffee (from 86 for 100lb in Mombasa in 1929 to 23 shillings in 1938 – 237) wheat, maize (fell from 12 shillings to 3 shillings per 100lb bag between 1930-35 (117) sisal prices, drought (1928-1934) and the effects of the economic depression (1929-1930) would linger on till 1939 (117)
  • In an example of protectionism, the Britain government cautioned Tanganyika about exporting sisal to the UK in 1934, and when they refused to restrict their exports, a tariff was imposed (162)

Government Policy:

  • The Railway was expanded to assist settlers’ agricultural productivity (Nakuru to Turbo, and Thika to Nyeri, Nanyuki, Nyahururu, and Solai) (116). But the settler economy was not productive enough, and ran deficits; hence the need to encourage African produce and later as much as 75-90% of the colonial agricultural exports came from African farms (81)
  • Britain had no interest in industrializing Kenya until WWII (70, 164)
  • Asian traders were encouraged to go into business by the colonial government – and were more resilient than European traders. They started with little capital but using thrift and wholesale-retail credit relationships grew to a point that, by 1905, Asians owned and controlled 80% of the business capital in Kenya (207)
  • After independence, the government had a New Projects Committee which reviewed applications of foreign companies wanting to invest in Kenya in 1968 and a Capital Issues Committee in 1971 to cut down on capital outflows from Kenya (304)
  • The World Bank advised devaluation of the Kenyan currency to promote exports and these happened from 7 to 10 shillings against the dollar in 1981 and after a few more to 23 shillings against the dollar by 1990 (308)

Investments:

  • Pre World War II industries included East Africa Bag & Cordage (Ruiru 1934), East Africans Breweries (1922 Ruaraka) Victoria Nyanza Sugar (Miwani 1922), Kenya Cooperative Creameries (Lumbwa 1911), Uplands East Africa (pig products in Limuru 1909) Mombasa Electric & Light (1906) and Magadi Soda (1911) (161)
  • Industries set up between 1945-1963 included East Africa Oxygen, House of Manji (1946), Unga (1950), Pepsi Cola, Bamburi Portland (1953), Schweppes, Allsops, 7-Up,  Carbacid, Leyland (1954), Coca Cola, East African Portland (1956),  Kenya Aluminum, Bata (1958), Lyons Maid, Sadolin, EA refinery (1959) and Mabati 1961 (166)

Land:

  • Government land buying schemes to get land from settlers after independence included Harambee, Haraka, and the Million Acre scheme (274) but it was clear that the agriculture cooperative farm model did not work (275)
  • Land tenure included freehold and leasehold – and the crown land ordinance increased the lease period from 21 to 99 years (114)
  • Land price inflation was seen in 1915 when land leases were extended from 99 to 999 years and settlers applied for more land – even in the names of their wives & friends (115)
  • Settlers had large farms, averaging 2400 acres per settler in 1932, but had to get Africans to work for them (261)

 Media:

  • A.M Jevanjee started the African Standard in 1901, and in 1905 it was bought by a European who renamed it the East African Standard (137)
  • The need for newspapers that had an African interest was largely filled by the East Africa Newspapers Group founded by the Aga Khan in 1959 and its main publications included the Daily Nation.
  • Vernacular newspapers at the time included Wiyathi (1960 – Kikuyu language) weekly, Ramogi (1992 – Luo weekly), Jicho (Kiswahili 1962) and the Colonial Times (1962) which was an Asian weekly (137). With assistance from UNESCO, the government in 1974 published newspapers like Sauti ya Gusii, Sauti ya Kericho, Sauti ya Pwani and they were successful to a point that there were plans to have them in every province (325)

Transport & Infrastructure:

  •  The first bitumen roads were the Nairobi-Thika and the Nairobi-Nakuru roads, both in 1946 (133)
  • When flooded, the Tana River can be navigated 500 kilometres upstream from the Coast (134)
  • KENATCO, a cooperative with 9,000 members was very successful with profitable routes to Zambia, Angola and Rhodesia until East African problems led to them not being allowed to carry heavy vehicle freight through Tanzania, and that government’s detention of 1/3 of their fleet (321)
  • Matatus came about in June 1973 when President Kenyatta decreed that they were exempt from licensing. While they had some problems, they provided the government with solutions to unemployment and facilitated the Africanization of the transport sector (322)
  • The railway impacted trade patterns, reducing the freight cost from Mombasa to Lake Victoria from £130 per ton using human porters to £10 per ton (138)
  • East Africa Railways & Harbours was Africa’s second-largest rail system and was financially healthy till the 1970s (314-316) when road completion and policy changes added competition.
  • Aviation started in the mid-1930s with landings on Lakes Victoria and Naivasha. The first land aircraft was at Wilson airport, which was named after Florence Wilson (134)
  • East African Airways blundered by making loss-making flight routes to the US and the Far East (which were withdrawn in 1970) (318)

EDIT Via @RookieKE On September 3 – The University of Nairobi (UoN) bookshop has 8 copies of the ‘Economic History of Kenya’ for sale at Kshs 1,000.

Shares Portfolio August 2012

Comparing to last quarter and a  year ago.   
The StableBarclays ↑
Bralirwa (Rwanda) ↑
Diamond Trust Bank ↓
East African Breweries (EABL) ↑
Equity Bank ↔
Kenya Airways ↓
Kenya Commercial Bank (KCB) ↑
Kenya Oil Company (Kenol) ↑
Safaricom ↑
Scangroup ↑
Stanbic (Uganda) ↓
 
Review 
The portfolio, excluding new shares, is up 11% since May 2012 while the Nairobi Shares Exchange main index is up 6% over the same period.
  • Best Performer: Kenol (up 23% in 3 months), Bralirwa 14%)
  •  Worst Performer: Diamond Trust (down 8% in 3 months), Kenya Airways (after the rights issue that yielded
  • In: Equity Bank – read a recent  Equity Bank analysis report.
  • Out: Britak, Uchumi
  • Increase: Took up all of the Diamond Trust Bank rights
  • Decrease: none
  • Unexpected gains/losses: Kenol suspension was listed, Bonus share of Stanbic Uganda bonus was issued (4 new for every existing share)
  • Looking Forward to more listings like the one announced today from Umeme – a monopoly electricity distributor from Uganda that is 100% owned by Actis,  and which plans to have an IPO in Uganda and Kenya later this year.

Kenyan Guide to Brazil

Now that the 2012 Olympics are over, it’s time for Kenyan fans to start preparations for the next great sporting event. Brazil hosts the World Cup in 2014 and the next Olympic Games in 2016. There is little hope for Kenya making the former. In fact, they have been, but we hope to do better at the next Olympics. @MartinKeino pointed out just before the London games ended, Kenya rarely does well in European Olympics, and a move back to a tropical climate will be welcomed.

Anyway on to the guest post by  @Wajulzoe who recently traveled to Sao Paulo, Brazil. Note the local currency is the Brazil Real and US$1 is about 2 Real.

Getting there: Regarding the embassy, which is located on the street right behind The Village Market-UN Crescent, ensure that you start your visa application at least three weeks before you are scheduled to leave. This is because the Brazilian embassy serves the entire East African region, and delays are expected especially when major events and conferences are taking place in Brazil.

Your first visit will be to drop off your documents, which if there are no problems will be accepted, and you will be informed via email when your visa is ready. Make sure you have all your original documents, including invitation letters, as they do not accept scanned copies even for invitation letters, and these will have to be shipped in for them to authenticate the signatures.

For the flight, Emirates via Dubai which will cost approximately $2400 return from Nairobi depending on whether or not it is peak season. Note, you can also fly through South Africa for about $1,600 on South Africa Airways, and while been said that Sao Paulo has been earmarked as the first Latin American destination for Kenya Airways, nothing has been officially announced.

If you are travelling to Sao Paulo, you will arrive at Guarulhos International Airport (GRU) where you will be required to present your visa.

Getting Around:  From the airport, a taxi will cost you approximately R100 (equivalent to $50) though you could alternatively take a bus which costs R10 (equivalent to $5) which passes along the main tourist sites to view while en route and uses the main road. The transport system is well organized. You can choose from using a taxi, bus or metro(subway). The bus and subway are efficient and affordable, in addition to being convenient irrespective of which part of the town you are headed. The only thing to keep in mind is the congestion of the subway terminals during rush hour.

Brazilians speak Portuguese as their official language, with a minority of Brazilians being bilingual (can speak both Portuguese and English).

Getting around, you will spend between R$15-30 (equivalent to $7.50-15) per meal inclusive of drinks. There are also a number of buffet eateries in the town where you can enjoy local meals for about the same cost.

Sao Paulo is generally a secure city though you need to keep a close eye on your wallet to avoid busy hands from pick-pockets. It is advisable to walk in groups late in the evening and to use a car as much as possible when traveling at night.

Where to stay: Sao Paulo has reliable electricity and water supply and The average hotel cost starts from $50 (for bed & breakfast) and breakfast is an elaborate meal in most hotels.

Eating out: The main food is rice, beans and meat though this may be served with a salad. Brahma is the local beer which goes for about R3 (an equivalent of $1.5) though this may cost more depending on where you are.

Staying in touch: International calls are expensive, approximately $1 per minute though most hostels and hotels have good Internet access (Wi-Fi) which you can use to make calls using Skype. Cybercafes are also available and affordable, with rates of R2 ($1) per hour.

Shopping & sightseeing: Avenue do Paulista is the main high-rise shopping mall street though,  for more affordable items, you may visit 25 de Marcio which is where most stores in Brazil get their goods from.

Samba performance

Among the places to visit are Parque do Ibirapuera, Museu de Arte de Sao Paulo Assis Chateaubriand, Sala Sao Paulo, Teatro Municipal and Museu fo Futebo, to mention a few. Many of the buildings in the city date back to the colonial era when the Portuguese occupied Brazil and for this reason, look out for a lot of pre-colonial Portuguese architecture.

Surprises /Odd Points: The warmth and hospitality of the people, even though there was often a language barrier between us.

The Brazilians are very passionate about football and for this reason, expect to have an elaborate firework display before, during and after a football match. There are also a number of gay festivals held in the open.

Equity Education & Leadership Congress

There’s a unique event taking place this week at the Kenyatta University Amphitheatre in Nairobi called the Annual Education & Leadership Congress (watch livestream of the #EGFcongress sessions).

 
About 5,000 children from across Kenya have assembled to hear talks from business, social, and other leaders from Kenya and other countries. They are beneficiaries of Wings to Fly which offers secondary school scholarships to top primary school kids, and the University Sponsorship Program, that offers university scholarships. The financial and mentorship programs are supported by the Equity Group Foundation, and the MasterCard Foundation with support from USAID and UKAID.
This year #WingstoFly is sponsoring the high school education of over 2,000 boys and girls (20 per district who applied at their local Equity bank branches and were selected by their communities). 
For another group of 250 who topped their districts in KCSE (national high school exams) in 2011, the University sponsorship program will be supporting their education and Kenyan and overseas universities, including for a few who will be starting at Harvard, Yale, Brown, Princeton and Columbia universities. Over 1200 have benefited from this including Samuel Kirubi, who was the first beneficiary of the program in 1989 and is currently the Managing Director of Equity Bank Rwanda.
The mentorship session includes an annual event in Nairobi while many beneficiaries also mentor others within the program.  A session yesterday on innovation had Anthony Mwai (Regional GM IBM East Africa), Erik Hersman (Co Founder iHub  and Ushahidi), Paul Kukubo (CEO, Kenya ICT Board) and John Waibochi (Founder Virtual City) and which was moderated by the Equity Bank CEO, James Mwangi.
All the panelists gave brief talks on the need to innovate and change in order to survive in the world of business. Hersman spoke of the iHub with 8,000 members with the potential to change the IT status quo through phone innovations, research and super computers, Waibochi spoke of changing his business model from Simu ya Jamii, selling expensive internet, to building agriculture apps and the need to always anticipate the next thing coming, Mwai spoke of IBM’s 100 year path from meat weighing scales to typewriters, mainframe computers and restructuring and now consulting & software, while Kukubo spoke of the need for the students to visualize the next 15 years because the present was barely fathomed 15 years ago.

Nation Hela to revolutionize remittances & debit cards in Kenya?

On August 15, 2012, Kenya’s Nation Media Group (NMG) launched NationHela in partnership with Diamond Trust Bank and Craft Silicon. NationHela had been first unveiled the previous week when NMG announced 14% revenue growth to Kshs 5.8 billion and a 23% rise in profits of Kshs 1.37 billion and an interim dividend of Kshs 2.50 per share  for the first half of 2012.

Why NationHela? For NMG that has millions of online newspaper readers every month, a good fraction of who are in the diaspora, and who also send remittances to Kenya, the platform is a chance for them to send money without leaving their computer (or logging off the newspaper site)  – by entering debit or credit card numbers to send to a Kenyan phone number. 

At the launch, a Central Bank of Kenya a figure was cited of remittances of $590 million in the year  to June (up from $409 million the previous year) through formal money transfer channels.

 
Senders also get value as NationHela can be 30% cheaper overall (charging $12.5 to send $200 compared to $15 for other services), while for  the recipient it knocks out the necessity of taking a matatu (vehicle) to town or finding a Western Union agent to withdraw cash. 

Diamond Trust who are the 7th largest bank, and the largest agent of Western Union in Kenya, handled the banking regulatory and approvals, and will also do the backoffice processing of money movement, agents, currency exchanges, float etc., while Craft Silicon provided the mobile interface (familiar to anyone who’s used their Elma) through which users will access Hela by USSD on a mobile phone to get notifications, send or receive money through mpesa to other card users, pay some utility bills, block a lost/stolen card, see a mini statement /balance among other features.

Some cited uses of the card include:

  •  Make online purchases as a visa debit card
  • Move money to or from mpesa
  • Withdraw cash at any ATM via visa
  • Use the debit card in a supermarket to make payments
 
Other future or potential uses include:
  •  Pay dividends straight to cards (maybe starting with Diamond Trust and NMG shareholders)  
  • Kenyans with paypal can move their online money on to the card and cash out payments
  • Senders will also be able to see how card recipients use the money they have sent (perhaps answering along standing issue about the misuse of remittances.
  • Take NationHela to Tanzania and Uganda where both the Nation and Diamond Trust are
  • Pay staff travel  allowances and imprest at companies (said to happen at NMG)
 

Outlook: Some concerns have been expressed, that NationHela may not work out, or that it’s going to distract NMG  from its core media business. Also the web interface needs some tweaks to make the card easier to work.

While the awareness and usage of debit and credit cards in Kenya has been low, for NationaHela there  are plans for online education & marketing campaigns targeted at the diaspora, combined with roadshows and town hall meetings around Kenya to register users, convert agents, and show how to use it on a day to day basis – and we’ll see where they are in a year.