Monthly Archives: December 2006

2006 Kenya banking review


still Barclays country

based on reported figures for September 2006

1. Barclays Bank of Kenya [assets worth 117.17 billion shillings ($1.67 billion)] In 2006 Barclays made a major policy about turn and announced expansion plans including reopening branches they had closed a few years ago. They also venture into Shariah compliant banking as did KCB, I&M, Dubai and K-Rep banks.

Compared to September 2005, assets were up 10%, deposits 12%, loans 14% but income was up only 6%. They also increased their investment in government securities to about 40% of the loan book. Still despite being Kenya’s largest bank, it also has the 2nd highest return on assets at 4.16% (second only to Equity Bank at 4.74%)Barclays shareholders had a very happy year, which saw them earn a bonus share and a share split in addition to their usual top dividend.

2. Kenya Commercial Bank [84.92 billion] KCB nudged passed Stanchart in assets while its share price zoomed passed though Stanchart still has a higher market cap and better returns. KCB’s expansive rural branch network was the envy of other banks such as Barclays and it also expanded into Sudan in 2006. KCB’s assets were up 18%, deposits 17%, loan 13% while income was up 26% from a year ago

3. Standard Chartered [84.09 billion] The bank launched several new products including accounts aimed as women (Diva) and children and adult savings (Safari) accounts. Stanchart also appointed a new MD – Mr. Etemesi. Assets up 18% deposits 16% loan s22% and income 10% while it also increased its investment in government securities

4. Cooperative Bank [55.17 billion] Co-op’s strong recovery continued and it remains a strong candidate for a listing in the next two years. One of their unique traditional products – kids’ savings accounts – was invaded by other banks this year. Compared to last September, assets were up 12%, deposits up 18%, income up 19%, but loans down by 16%. Also their total non performing assets (NPA’s) doubled to 17 billion while the bank also tripled its in investment in government securities during the year.

5. National Bank of Kenya [39.37 billion] NBK is yet to have its capital and debt restructuring done even though it is promised every year by the Government and despite reporting profits each quarter, it was not able to pay any dividends. The Bank launched a low fee (Taifa) account to counter the crowds flocking to Equity and Co-op banks. Assets and loan were up 10%, deposits and income up 16% and it tripled investment in government securities but NPA have also doubled to from a year ago.

6. Citibank Kenya [35.43 billion] Assets up 12% loans up 42% and income up 33%. Was a late entrant to the share craze providing advisory services to the Mumias rights issue in November.

7. Commercial Bank of Africa [35.12 billion] CBA opened a new headquarters and is expected to venture into stockbroking. Assets, deposits, loans, and income were all up 21% but NPA also up 45% from a year ago.

8. CFC [25.04 billion] Had a successful rights issue to raise capital and also continued to roll out new insurance products. Its stockbroking unit is the largest in the country and was reported to have processed Eveready applications amounts that exceeded the shares being offered. CFC doubled its investment in government securities, assets were up 35%, deposits and loans up 20%, income up 61% but NPA were also up by 74% from the year before.

9. NIC [23.55] Still the leader in asset finance while their flat fee (MOVE) was imitated by other banks. Assets and deposits were up 18%, loans 15%, and income 33%, but NPA’s doubled from a year ago also. Shareholders finally enjoyed some significant price appreciation after being stuck at 50 /= forever.

10. Standard Bank (Stanbic) [23.29 billion] Many Kenyans bought shares in their Ugandan subsidiary while the Bank has expressed an interest in investing in NBK once it is restructured. Stanbic which has the lowest NPA (followed by Citibank and D-Trust) had assets up 54% deposits and loans up 44% and income was up 49%.

11 Investment & Mortgages [21.79 billion] I&M had assets up 25% deposits 27% loans 36% and income up 33% as the bank made a push into the credit card sector.

12 Diamond Trust [19.14 billion] Raised capital in an over-subscribed rights issue in December and is rumored to consolidate with a sister bank next year. Assets were up 27% deposits 29% loans 25% while income was up 33% from a year ago.

13 Equity [16.33 billion] Kenya’s s fastest growing bank had assets up 63% deposits 81% loans 105% and income 90% however expenses in Q3 grew faster than income and NPA’s are up 165%. It has the highest returns (assets 5% and equity 46%) and successfully listed all their shares on the NSE in 2006

14 Bank of Baroda [11.43 billion] Assets and deposits up 29%, loans up 27%, income up 22% and profit could double this year.

15 Housing Finance [9.8 billion] Has a new MD while its share price appreciated beyond expectation leaving it with the highest P/E on the NSE. Assets, deposits, loans, income, and expenses remained basically unchanged from a year ago while the bank has converted cash into government securities. The lack of new loan growth resulted in NPA’s forming a greater portion (72%) of loan book.

16 Prime Bank [9.26 billion] Assets and income up 40%, deposits 43% loan 29% and profits are up 69% from a year ago.

17 EABS Bank [8.55 billion] Teething pains continue as assets shrunk by 4% but with a positive outlook as income increased twice as fast as operating expenses this year, but still NPA’s are at 72%.

18 Imperial [8.47 billion] Assets up 5% loan 146% and securities up 60% as the bank had redeployed about 1 billion in placements. Income is up 13% and Imperial has among the top 5 returns (even better than Citibank)

19 Bank of India [8.15 billion] Assets and deposits up 20%, loans up 56%, income up 46% but NPA up 43% – still the bank is on track for a huge profit this year.

20 Bank of Africa [6.23 billion] Expects to open another Nairobi branch and but into a bank in Uganda to go with the one it invested into in Tanzania. Assets up 17% deposits 35% loans 16% and income up 31% and despite increase expansion costs remains on track to achieve a profit this year.

21 Fina [6.15 billion] One of the banks that has championed SME financing and also has an extensive operation in Rwanda. Assets unchanged from a year ago while loans up 17% profits will be 41% higher, but NPA also up 59%.

22 Habib AG Zurich [5.07 billion] Asset up 9%, loans 16% and income up 11% at this bank which invests primarily in government securities.

23 ABC [4.95 billion] Assets up 7% with loans up 4%, and income up 20% from a year ago however NPA’s also up 46%.

24 Giro [4.93 billion] Nothing much heard from partnership with SBI (India) and
Assets were up 3%, income up 9%, but loans down 13% and profit will be less than 2005.

25 Guardian [4.66 billion] Assets up 2%, and bank has upped its investment in government securities by 61% compared to 2% growth in loans – however NPA up 216% .

26 K-Rep [4.52 billion] One of the banks that pioneered the micro-finance sector now finds itself being crowded out by new entrants advertising all manner of SME packages. It will administer an ADB guaranteed line of credit for women entrepreneurs (along with CFC and CBA). Assets up 31,% deposits 59& and income up 50% proving that micro finance is low risk niche with only 4% NPA’s even as loans by K-Rep increased by 40%.

28 Southern Credit [4.27 billion] Assets up 1% deposits up 6% and loans 9% but with NPA’s up 52% from a year ago at the bank with a major credit card arm.

29 Victoria [4.19 billion] Assets and deposits up 8% and the bank has reduced its NPA’s by 49% and now has the lowest NPA in the country at 1% with 1 billion shilling in the bank.

30 Charterhouse [3.94 billion] The bank was placed under statutory management following money laundering and tax evasion allegations and has fought back through the courts and the press (& with some questionable tactics). Even as depositors are locked out, assets up 19% but profits down 33% and the CBK manager increased investments in government securities – up by 332% (as directed by the law)

31 Equatorial [3.67 billion] A Sameer bank had assets up 1% but reduced government securities by 72% to increase loans by 22% but NPA also up 75%.

32 Middle East [3.45 billion] Assets up 1%, loans up 45%, but deposits down 10% yet bank may increase its profit as a result of an improved NPA positions.

33 Consolidated [3.45 billion] Assets up 29%, deposits & loans up 33% and despite high NPA it may achieve a profit in 2006. The Deposit protection fund is expected to sell its 50% stake in the bank, but without a profitable track record it will remain private.

34 Chase [3.29 billion] Assets up 33%, deposit 53%, loans & income up 43% but NPA also up 42%.

35 Development Bank of Kenya [3.05 billion] Assets up 20%, deposits & loans are up 50% but NPA up 52%.

36 Habib Bank [3.02 billion] Assets, deposit, and loans, all up 4% this year at Habib which is rumored to consolidate with sister bank in 2007. Has the highest ratio of investment in government securities.

37 Credit [2.77 billion] Assets down 6% and NPA up 125% as the bank drops 3 places in rankings.

38 Transnational [2.44 billion] Assets up 12%, while deposits & loans up 20% from a year ago but NPA also up 73%.

39 Fidelity [2.11 billion] Income up 50% while deposits & loans both up 35% from a year ago.

40 Paramount Universal [2.05 billion] Assets up 55%, deposits up 72% but income is flat and NPA’s are significantly up.

41 Oriental (formerly Delphis) [1.37 billion] Losses continue to eat into assets. Growth in income finally faster than growth in expenses but not enough to reverse wipe out of gains in the 1st half of the year as the bank moves further away from profitability and drops behind Paramount in size.

42 Dubai [1.22 billion] One of the first banks to recognize the potential of having a branch in the Eastleigh area now finds itself fighting with new entrants (giants Barclays and KCB) invading the area. Assets up 5%, loans up 12%, deposits up 15%, but NPA up 130% from a year ago.

43 City Finance [0.53 billion] Smallest bank with deposits up 34% (to 130 million), but income down 31% and NPA up 40% from a year ago.

Other institutions
Would be ranked 27Family Finance [4.47 billion in assets] Almost as fast growing as Equity with a similarly ambitious expansion plan, but was not able to become a bank since their planned conversion was put on hold by Central Bank. A share capital share of 390 million is more than other existing banks, but new banks are expected to be stronger and so the society went for a controversial private placement which was under-subscribed in November 2006. Assets and profits are up 40% from a year ago while deposits are up 50%.

new bankGulf African Will be the first 100% Shariah bank in Kenya

Number’s don’t lie

People do

Whether it’s – Kenya to receive 5.8 billion in military aid, government creates 500,000 jobs, NGO plans to plant 1 million trees, ILO says 352 million children are economically active, SACCO’s contribute 45% to GDP, or 30 per cent of teenagers in some Kenyan coastal areas are involved in casual sex for cash – numbers are thrown at us everyday and we absorb the numbers and take them as gospel truth. We – blogs, the media, and the public – then re-broadcast them to others as fact and they are repeated around the world.

The numbers can come from government departments, ministers, NGO’s, donors, and other leaders who use them to justify arguments, increased funding, or positions taken. One thing I remember from statistics class is that numbers can be made up to say whatever the author wants if they are slanted in a certain way.

So, I am not saying all the numbers from a study or report are false or some opinions polls are poisoned, but in the spirit of Coldtusker’s financial gaffes we should take time and question the accuracy, motive, reason, purpose, feel good factor, or any other underlying story to the numbers.

Land Rent Crackdown

Defaulted land rents due to the Ministry of Lands will now be collected by the Kenya Revenue Authority . Previously KRA has dabbled in collections of local rates for the Nairobi and Mombasa cities but will now collect defaulted annual ground rents/rates due with penalties, for defaulters after each January 31, clearly spelt out as follows:

– July 2005 to date: 12% p.a. or 1% p.m.
– Jan 2001 to Jun 2005: 24% p.a. of the outstanding rent
– Jan 1996 to June 2000: 12% of annual rent
– Prior to 1995: 50% of annual rent

Payment can be made through KCB NBK and Co-op bank branches.

Missing Mount Kenya

Last month I caught a glimpse of Mt Kenya all the way from Nairobi when it was briefly visible for an hour in the morning. Then I got a chance to visit the area and see the whole thing from up close, I thought.

The drive:  Nanyuki is marked as being about 190km from Nairobi. The drive up is pleasant except for some bad stretches of road. The dual carriageway from Nairobi to Thika turnoff is quite bad, indicating the volume/level of commuter traffic between the towns. It’s much better off till the end of the dual carriageway and on to Makuyu, passing Kakuzi, and the Tana River power station. There’s a “no trespassing” sign there which is a shame because Kengen could make some money from visitors to its power sites like Turkwell, Olkaria, and along the Tana River.

Drive non stop through Sagana, Karatina, and finally the turnoff before Nyeri town and off through Kiganjo which has the famous police training school where the climate starts getting cooler. The road is smooth and fast now but like many roads in western Kenya, it is a good thing to slow down when you see a town because there are unmarked bumps – for residents demand that you admire their town and buy their vegetable or animal produce when you slow down.

Naro Moru is the first of the six police roadblocks we have passed to stop us, but only for a moment. When I last made this trip in 2002 there were about 20 roadblocks between Nairobi and Nanyuki. Next trip I will take a lorry and see what the cops on this route ask for. Anytime you drive a pick up (even empty) you are stopped and can be asked anything for anything from “give me a cigarette,” to “why are you not wearing a seatbelt?” No time to stop for fish today though.

Get to Nanyuki town and look for a place to stay. When you have Safari Club money, you can stay at the Mt. Kenya Safari Club – but this is a budget trip so you have to stay at budget places.

Travel lesson learnt;– When you get to a new town, esp. one with that gets many tourists, find out where the tour van drivers stay. These guys always know where the best budget packages are with clean rooms, hot water, safe parking, and good food.

Nanyuki had two hotels that meet their definition – Ibis Hotel and Simba Lodge and they were just about right. But the hotels can get full, if there are many vans of tourists in town, so get a booking done before you go looking for dinner.

Camp George massacre

The place to eat nyama is a small banda called Camp George about a kilometre from the Sportsman Arms hotel along a twisty route. It looks like Nerkwo but the meat is to die for. Order meat, and unlike Buffet Park, you’ll get what you ordered and in record time.

One problem with eating nyama choma is one never knows when to stop. If you eat a burger, it gets finished, you wipe your mouth and say that was a good burger. But with nyama choma, you eat until you’re full and there’s only fat and bones left on the table. Afterwards, you feel like a lion who has no interest in gazelles grazing nearby as your belly is too full.

The Watchman at the hotel assures that you’ll see the mountain if you wake up at six. It’s much colder now after 8 pm but you don’t feel it, because you’re full of doba and Tusker, so you drink lots of water and go to sleep.

Up at six up and sure enough there’s the peak of the mountain visible in the morning.
music video shoot

Eat breakfast, watch a music video being shot outside hotel, and go off to cyber café. I have been to some towns where the internet is a rare thing – some cybers only open for a few hours and remain closed on Sunday and Holidays. They are also very expensive. But right in Nanyuki there’s the Marina, a pleasant roof top bar & restaurant that has a very fast cyber, with new machines and costs 1/= per minute.

By the time, I leave the cyber face, Houdini has performed and Mt. Kenya has once again disappeared behind the clouds and weather patterns it creates.

The journey continues – and maybe the leeward (dry) other side of the mountain will have a clearer view.

Other side: On to Meru, which is 80km away on the other side of the mountain. The road is under repair and the weather remains cool, with low clouds obscuring the mountain.

Pass thought Meru town which is a large and busy town. Do a bit of business and get moving – as it is almost noon and Nairobi is almost 300km away.

The road from Meru, Chogoria, Chuka and into Embu is quite tiring. It is very twisty, which means you can’t sustain speeds. Quite a bit of it is under repair. There are roads crews ripping up patches of it and laying new carpet. There are also groups of boys who scoop heaps of soil onto the road and demand a token from passing motorists.

The scenery is beautiful with forests, farmland and more banana trees than I have ever seen do the landscape. Still no sign of the mountain, but its presence is felt as we pass dozens of bridges, each full of roaring brown waters from the mountain flowing to the lowlands. I have no idea what a miraa bush looks like, which is a major cash crop in the area for export to Somalia.

Get to Embu, tired, sweaty and hungry. We make the mistake of stopping to eat at a sleepy restaurant. The Waitress literally had her head on the table and no customers in sight. When we asked her where to wash hands, she directed us to the Shell petrol station next door. Coming out of the bathroom we noticed several cars parked and the smell of fresh food and we decided to eat at Shell’s Kirimari restaurant.

Another travel lesson learnt – when in a new town, (for the first time) eat at a restaurant at a petrol station on the highway. There are no standard restaurants like McDonald’s, but these highway points are frequented by many travellers (even the police were having a late lunch there) and they have standard menu – in this case, rice and beef stew made a great lunch that made us all feel better and energized.

saved by Kirimari lunch

From Embu on down to Mwea the climate gets warmer as we descend now. Stop in Mwea to buy the obligatory sack of rice. It’s high-quality grain that’s only available in Nairobi at much higher prices. Next time I’m here, I may take a detour to stay at Masinga Dam. After Mwea, it’s back to the main road and Nairobi – and still no sign of the mountain, despite going around it in a day.

Where in Kenya?

air force buzz

Eveready Mea Culpa

Mea culpa Eveready
I was wrong in estimating diminished interest in the Eveready IPO. 200,000 Kenyans applied for shares in the company and will each receive about 20% of the shares they applied for.

“Corporates” will only receive, at best, 17% of the shares they applied for, but are assured of much better allocation in the about-to-end Mumias offer which closes on Monday.

Bad loans for shares
I was also wrong that no banks will advance loans for Eveready shares.

This still happens, but with less fanfare/advertising than was seen with the Kengen IPO in March. IPO loans are not that attractive to banks since most offers are over-subscribed leaving borrowers with much fewer shares than they applied for – about 20% allocation on average. Also since Kengen has stuck at about 3X its IPO price and Scangroup (2X IPO price), banks are taking on some risk in undertaking such lending. E.g. Say I took out an unsecured personal loan of 120,000 shillings to buy Kengen shares (for 36 months at 19% interest). After the IPO I’d get 2,000 shares whose value of the past few months has been between 60,000 and 72,000 shillings. Meanwhile I have to pay back 150,000 shillings to the bank over the next three years.

Banks need hawkers
This week my bank ATM confiscated my card since it did not recognize my PIN number. I have not forgotten my PIN but the bank has a new IT system that for some reason only recognizes the original PIN, and not the PIN I had changed to as soon as I got the card months ago.

Anyway, I had to do something I dread doing today – visit/queue in the banking hall. It was a time wasting hour, 10 minutes of which I spent in the wrong line. Some banks have empty halls while others have crowded halls of customers who line up to deposit over the counter money. I got to thinking that maybe the bank should allow hawkers in to do some business and share the profits with the bank. They could sell newspapers, fruit, and airtime. Better yet, banks should stop their ridiculous no mobile calls rule for banking halls. If I have to spend a 1/5 of a working day in the bank, I should be able to do some other business over the phone.

Anyway I will be back in two weeks to collect a copy of my original PIN and resume using the ATM for normal banking

Where can you trade shares?
A rough estimate of the access to stockbroking services reveals that Nairobi (and other urban centers) have an undue advantage over rural folk in terms of stockbroking services. While IPO shares are sold at banks throughout the country e.g. KCB, for normal share trading one has to issue a stockbroker.

Like with urban bank customers (who are net borrowers) compared to rural customers (who are net savers) the rural shareholders are at a disadvantage in their access to stockbroking services. On the other hand, they trade much less (earn less commissions) than urban shareholders – preferring to buy and hold shares for dividends, bonuses and AGM goodies.

All brokers have office in Nairobi (including 3 for CFC and 2 for Suntra) while the rest of the country has brokers spread out as follows: Mombasa (Apex Africa, CFC, Dyer & Blair), Naivasha (CFC), Nakuru (Apex Africa,
CFC, Nyaga), Eldoret (CFC), Kirieni (Apex Africa), Kisumu (CFC), Nyeri (Nyaga), Thika (Nyaga), Machakos (Nyaga).

Recent trend Over the last month, Discount stockbrokers have opened offices in Kisumu, Mumias and Bungoma to facilitate the Mumias share offer.

Wishful thinking about oil
Reading this NY Times story about oil smuggling from Venezuela where oil costs $0.17 a gallon to Brazil where it cost $5 a gallon makes me wish that when if Kenya strikes oil, the price of petrol will drop from the current $5 a gallon (Kshs. 77/litre) to $0.17 (Kshs. 3/litre)

Opportunities

jobs

anon new bank backed by prominent middle east and other corporate investors is hiring human resource manager, IT manager, head of operations, head of corporate banking, head of retail banking, head of risk management head of treasury, head of investment banking, head of finance, head of trade finance, relationship managers, security manager, PR manager, branch managers, tellers,
Apply through Manpower services (K) by 23/12

Executive director at East African business council (Arusha) apply through manpower at manpower@africaonline.co.tz by Jan 5

Country manager – S. Sudan at family health international. Apply to hr@fhi.or.ke by 29/12

FSD Kenya SACCO-CAP (SACCO capacity building project) credit specialist marketing specialist financially analysts, IT specialist
Apply to sacco-cap@woccu.org by 27/12

Haco
– planning manager
– Financial accountant
jobs@haco.co.ke by 19/12

I&M Bank
– Liability Manager
– Relationship Manager – Assets
– Relationship Manager – Liabilities
– Marketing Relationship Officer (Mombasa)
Details and applications online

Manager procurement at the Kenya civil aviation authority – KCAA
jobs@kcaa.or.ke by 29/12

Kenya revenue authority
– Senior deputy commissioner: research & corporate planning
– Senior deputy commissioner: legal services
Apply through deloitte at esd@deloitte.co.ke by 5/1

Ministry of foreign affairs principal counselor (4) first counselor (11) second counselor (22) first secretary (28) third secretary (64)
Details will online and apply by 12/1

Nuturn bates
– Account director
– Account manager.
Apply to sam@nuturnbates.co.ke

Ogilvy
– Finance director: apply through KPMG at esd@kpmg.co.ke by 29/12
– Accountant D/L is 19/12
– Credit manager D/L is 19/12
Account managers (3) D/L is 21/12
Apply to info@ogilvy.co.ke

Safaricom
– Site Optimization Supervisor
– VAS Propositions Manager
– Business Analyst – Strategy Implementation– BASI_Nov06_CSP
Details at this site

Shelter Afrique
– Investment officer (directorate of operations)
– Internal auditor (bilingual)
– Translator (English/French) at the corporate secretary department
Apply to recruit@shelterafrique.org by 15/1

Travel insurance marketer at UAP insurance. Apply to recruit@adeptsystems.co.ke by 29/12

Finance director at the world wildlife fund (EARPO – Nairobi). Apply to HResource@wwfearpo.org by 31/12

learning/possible employment
Opportunity at the Steadman Group for some participants who enroll in an applied research training program at Strathmore business school . Fees are 75,000 shillings and applications can be found at www.steadman-group.com/scrt or www.sbs.ac.ke/scrt. Application deadline is 31/12 and classes begin on 27/1 for the two month program which also includes 2 week research at Steadman

Hospitality
Kenya Wildlife Services is seeking partners to lease develop and manage tented camps in Western Kenya – at Kisumu impala sanctuary, Ndere island national park and Ruma national park. D/L is 19/1

Earn $17 a day (per bed) by hosting delegates World Social Forum and provide them with bed & breakfast, running water & electricity from January 20 – 25.

travel
Buy a ticket at East African to Mombasa directly from the airline get a second one free (up to 6 January)